Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 44.72%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 27.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.85%) and 2-1 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for a Sporting Gijon win it was 0-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Granada would win this match.