Segunda Division | Gameweek 12
Oct 24, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere

Real Oviedo
1 - 0
Malaga

Baston (45+5' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Real Oviedo and Malaga.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Oviedo

All competitions
Last Game: Albacete 1-0 Real Oviedo
Saturday, October 15 at 8pm in Segunda Division

Malaga

All competitions
Last Game: Malaga 3-2 Lugo
Sunday, October 16 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 42.74%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Malaga had a probability of 28.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.62%) and 2-1 (8.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.2%), while for a Malaga win it was 0-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Oviedo in this match.

Result
Real OviedoDrawMalaga
42.74% (0.792 0.79)28.99% (-0.23 -0.23)28.26% (-0.561 -0.56)
Both teams to score 43.07% (0.314 0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.84% (0.524 0.52)63.15% (-0.524 -0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.42% (0.377 0.38)82.58% (-0.376 -0.38)
Real Oviedo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.68% (0.706 0.71)29.32% (-0.704 -0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.71% (0.857 0.86)65.29% (-0.85599999999999 -0.86)
Malaga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.94% (-0.166 -0.17)39.06% (0.16699999999999 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.22% (-0.156 -0.16)75.77% (0.158 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Real Oviedo 42.74%
    Malaga 28.26%
    Draw 28.98%
Real OviedoDrawMalaga
1-0 @ 14.05% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.62% (0.167 0.17)
2-1 @ 8.1% (0.121 0.12)
3-0 @ 3.53% (0.135 0.14)
3-1 @ 3.31% (0.112 0.11)
3-2 @ 1.56% (0.046 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.08% (0.061 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.02% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 42.74%
1-1 @ 13.2% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 11.45% (-0.22 -0.22)
2-2 @ 3.81% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 28.98%
0-1 @ 10.76% (-0.26 -0.26)
1-2 @ 6.21% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-2 @ 5.06% (-0.147 -0.15)
1-3 @ 1.95% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.59% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.19% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 28.26%

Head to Head
May 7, 2022 5.15pm
Malaga
0-0
Real Oviedo

Luismi (42'), Costas (54'), Obeng (90+4')
Oct 31, 2021 3pm
Real Oviedo
2-1
Malaga
Baston (20', 90+1')
Costas (15'), Mossa (73')
Rodriguez (74')
May 17, 2021 6pm
Real Oviedo
1-0
Malaga
Ahijado (61')
Tejera (56'), Nahuel (69'), Rodri (70'), Nieto (81'), Fernandez Salas (90+3')

Guerrero Romero (56'), Romero (72'), Munoz (88'), Gonzalez (90+2')
Jan 9, 2021 5.15pm
Malaga
1-1
Real Oviedo
Rahmani (13')
Escassi (33'), Rodriguez (90+4')
Escassi (83')
Nahuel (51')
Rodri (25'), Nieto (45+1'), Jimmy (82')
Jan 6, 2021 8pm
Malaga
1-0
Real Oviedo
Chavarria (118')
Mejias (45+6'), Barrio (103')

R (26'), Obeng (42'), Mier (111')
Mier (114')