Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a UD Ibiza win with a probability of 40.27%. A win for Mirandes had a probability of 31.65% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a UD Ibiza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Mirandes win was 0-1 (10.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.