Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirandes win with a probability of 40.75%. A win for Tenerife had a probability of 30.79% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mirandes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Tenerife win was 0-1 (10.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mirandes in this match.