Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 46.38%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Mirandes had a probability of 24.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.8%) and 2-1 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.93%), while for a Mirandes win it was 0-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burgos would win this match.