Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 38.06%. A win for Burgos had a probability of 32.36% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.55%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Burgos win was 1-0 (11.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.