Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 38.06%. A win for Burgos had a probability of 32.36% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.55%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Burgos win was 1-0 (11.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
Burgos	Draw	Real Zaragoza
32.36% ( -0.1)	29.58% ( 0.05)	38.06% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 42.98% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.03% (

-0.17)

63.98% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.84% (

-0.12)

83.17% (

0.12)

Burgos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.66% (

-0.17)

36.34% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.88% (

-0.17)

73.12% (

0.18)

Real Zaragoza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.51% (

-0.05)

32.49% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.99% (

-0.06)

69.02% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Burgos 32.36%

Real Zaragoza 38.06%

Draw 29.57%

Burgos	Draw	Real Zaragoza
1-0 @ 11.95% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.8% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.05% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.3% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.93% Total : 32.36%	1-1 @ 13.43% 0-0 @ 11.8% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.57%	0-1 @ 13.27% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.55% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.46% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.8% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.71% Total : 38.06%