Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Santander win with a probability of 40.4%. A draw had a probability of 32.4% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 27.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Santander win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.62%) and 2-1 (6.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (16.31%), while for a Burgos win it was 0-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.