Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 37.04%. A win for Tenerife had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 30.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.39%) and 2-1 (7.12%). The likeliest Tenerife win was 0-1 (12.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
Burgos	Draw	Tenerife
37.04% ( -1.18)	30.64% ( -0.21)	32.32% ( 1.38)

Both teams to score 40.31% (

0.77)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

32.83% (

0.78)

67.16% (

-0.78)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.62% (

0.52)

85.37% (

-0.52)

Burgos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.16% (

-0.34)

34.84% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.42% (

-0.36)

71.57% (

0.35)

Tenerife Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.87% (

1.5)

38.13% (

-1.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.1% (

1.41)

74.89% (

-1.42)

Score Analysis

Burgos 37.03%

Tenerife 32.32%

Draw 30.63%

Burgos	Draw	Tenerife
1-0 @ 14% ( -0.55) 2-0 @ 7.39% ( -0.36) 2-1 @ 7.12% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.6% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 2.5% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.22% Total : 37.03%	1-1 @ 13.5% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 13.28% ( -0.39) 2-2 @ 3.43% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.41% Total : 30.63%	0-1 @ 12.8% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 6.51% ( 0.28) 0-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.32) 1-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.17) 0-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.08) Other @ 1.65% Total : 32.32%