Copa del Rey
Jan 3, 2023 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube
  • Rodri 44' goal

Ceuta vs Elche - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ceuta

All competitions

Elche

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 67.68%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Ceuta had a probability of 12.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.73%) and 1-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.23%), while for a Ceuta win it was 1-0 (4.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result

Ceuta 12.9% (-0.30)
Draw 19.41% (-0.68)
Elche 67.68% (+0.98)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.76% (+1.33)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.99% (+2.24)
Under 2.5 45.01% (-2.24)
Over 3.5 32.64% (+2.11)
Under 3.5 67.36% (-2.11)

Ceuta Goals

Over 0.5 54.45% (+0.93)
Under 0.5 45.54% (-0.93)
Over 1.5 18.63% (+0.72)
Under 1.5 81.36% (-0.72)

Elche Goals

Over 0.5 87.7% (+0.96)
Under 0.5 12.3% (-0.95)
Over 1.5 61.93% (+1.96)
Under 1.5 38.07% (-1.96)

Score analysis

Ceuta 12.9%
Draw 19.41%
Elche 67.68%
Ceuta
1-0 @ 4.41% (-0.32)
2-1 @ 3.63% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 1.73% (-0.08)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 12.9%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.23% (-0.31)
0-0 @ 5.6% (-0.56)
2-2 @ 3.8% (+0.12)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 19.41%
Elche
0-2 @ 12.3% (-0.27)
0-1 @ 11.73% (-0.71)
1-2 @ 9.67% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 8.59% (+0.12)
1-3 @ 6.76% (+0.27)
0-4 @ 4.5% (+0.22)
1-4 @ 3.54% (+0.26)
2-3 @ 2.66% (+0.17)
0-5 @ 1.89% (+0.16)
1-5 @ 1.48% (+0.16)
2-4 @ 1.39% (+0.14)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 67.68%