La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 15

Dec 29, 2022 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Wanda Metropolitano

Atletico
2 - 0
Elche

Felix (56'), Morata (74')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Elche, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Arenteiro 1-3 Atletico
Thursday, December 22 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Top scorers

Elche

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Guadalajara 0-3 Elche
Tuesday, December 20 at 6pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 73.09%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Elche had a probability of 9.15%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.61%) and 3-0 (10.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.29%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (3.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Atletico Madrid in this match.

Result
Atletico Madrid	Draw	Elche
73.09% ( -3.11)	17.76% ( 1.51)	9.15% ( 1.59)

Both teams to score 40.29% (

2.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.08% (

-1.23)

47.92% (

1.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.91% (

-1.14)

70.09% (

1.14)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.36% (

-1.16)

11.64% (

1.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.33% (

-2.56)

36.67% (

2.56)

Elche Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.59% (

3.01)

54.41% (

-3.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.47% (

1.75)

87.52% (

-1.75)

Score Analysis

Atletico Madrid 73.07%

Elche 9.15%

Draw 17.76%

Atletico Madrid	Draw	Elche
2-0 @ 14.64% ( -0.66) 1-0 @ 13.61% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 10.5% ( -1.01) 2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.42) 3-1 @ 6.39% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 5.65% ( -0.85) 4-1 @ 3.44% ( -0.17) 5-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.5) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.17) 5-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.15) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.03% Total : 73.07%	1-1 @ 8.29% ( 0.76) 0-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.36) Other @ 0.43% Total : 17.76%	0-1 @ 3.85% ( 0.52) 1-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.44) 0-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.25) Other @ 1.6% Total : 9.15%