Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 46.47%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 25.97%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.26%) and 1-2 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a Mallorca win it was 1-0 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mallorca | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 25.97% ( | 27.56% ( | 46.47% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.37% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.47% ( | 59.53% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.12% ( | 79.88% ( |
| Mallorca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.02% ( | 38.98% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.3% ( | 75.7% ( |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.35% ( | 25.65% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.45% ( | 60.55% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Mallorca | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 1-0 @ 9.42% ( 2-1 @ 6.04% ( 2-0 @ 4.44% ( 3-1 @ 1.9% ( 3-0 @ 1.39% ( 3-2 @ 1.29% ( Other @ 1.5% Total : 25.97% | 1-1 @ 12.81% ( 0-0 @ 10% ( 2-2 @ 4.11% ( Other @ 0.63% Total : 27.55% | 0-1 @ 13.6% ( 0-2 @ 9.26% ( 1-2 @ 8.72% ( 0-3 @ 4.2% ( 1-3 @ 3.96% ( 2-3 @ 1.86% ( 0-4 @ 1.43% ( 1-4 @ 1.35% ( Other @ 2.1% Total : 46.47% |