Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 46.47%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 25.97%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.26%) and 1-2 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a Mallorca win it was 1-0 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Mallorca | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
25.97% ( 0.11) | 27.56% ( 0.11) | 46.47% ( -0.22) |
Both teams to score 45.37% ( -0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.47% ( -0.29) | 59.53% ( 0.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.12% ( -0.23) | 79.88% ( 0.23) |
Mallorca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.02% ( -0.06) | 38.98% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.3% ( -0.06) | 75.7% ( 0.06) |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.35% ( -0.24) | 25.65% ( 0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.45% ( -0.32) | 60.55% ( 0.33) |
Score Analysis |
Mallorca | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 9.42% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 6.04% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 1.9% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.5% Total : 25.97% | 1-1 @ 12.81% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.63% Total : 27.55% | 0-1 @ 13.6% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 9.26% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.72% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 4.2% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.96% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.1% Total : 46.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 50 | 19 | 31 | 38 |
2 | Real Madrid | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 13 | 21 | 36 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 35 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 32 |
5 | Villarreal | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 26 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 24 |
7 | Osasuna | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 24 |
8 | Mallorca | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 24 |
9 | GironaGirona | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 22 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 21 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 21 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 19 |
13 | Sevilla | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 19 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Getafe | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 16 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 15 |
17 | Leganes | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
18 | Espanyol | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 13 |
19 | Valencia | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 10 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 34 | -23 | 9 |
> La Liga Full Table |