Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 68.61%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 11.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.87%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.22%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (4.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.