Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 68.61%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 11.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.87%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.22%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (4.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Villarreal | Draw | Mallorca |
68.61% ( -0.25) | 19.48% ( 0.11) | 11.91% ( 0.14) |
Both teams to score 44.58% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.33% ( -0.12) | 47.66% ( 0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.14% ( -0.11) | 69.86% ( 0.11) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.17% ( -0.11) | 12.82% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.84% ( -0.22) | 39.16% ( 0.22) |
Mallorca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.14% ( 0.17) | 48.86% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.14% ( 0.12) | 83.85% ( -0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Villarreal | Draw | Mallorca |
2-0 @ 13.21% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 12.87% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 9.05% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 6.48% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 4.65% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 3.33% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0) Other @ 2.77% Total : 68.6% | 1-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.39% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.61% Total : 19.48% | 0-1 @ 4.49% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.52% Total : 11.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 33 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 71 | 22 | 49 | 84 |
2 | Barcelona | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 64 | 37 | 27 | 70 |
3 | GironaGirona | 32 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 67 | 40 | 27 | 68 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 32 | 19 | 4 | 9 | 59 | 38 | 21 | 61 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 52 | 30 | 22 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 48 |
8 | Valencia | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 42 |
10 | Getafe | 32 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 40 |
11 | Osasuna | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 39 |
12 | Sevilla | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 37 |
13 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 37 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 35 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Celta Vigo | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 31 |
17 | Mallorca | 32 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 32 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 25 |
19 | Granada | 32 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 33 | 61 | -28 | 18 |
20 | Almeria | 32 | 1 | 11 | 20 | 31 | 64 | -33 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |