Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 55.51%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 21.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.85%) and 0-2 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for an Atletico Madrid win it was 1-0 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Barcelona in this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Barcelona |
| 21.39% ( | 23.1% ( | 55.51% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.5% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.6% ( | 46.4% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.32% ( | 68.68% ( |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.11% ( | 35.89% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.33% ( | 72.66% ( |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.44% ( | 16.56% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.66% ( | 46.33% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Barcelona |
| 1-0 @ 6.09% ( 2-1 @ 5.61% ( 2-0 @ 3.12% ( 3-1 @ 1.92% ( 3-2 @ 1.72% ( 3-0 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 1.86% Total : 21.39% | 1-1 @ 10.95% ( 0-0 @ 5.94% ( 2-2 @ 5.05% ( 3-3 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.1% | 0-1 @ 10.68% ( 1-2 @ 9.85% ( 0-2 @ 9.61% ( 1-3 @ 5.9% ( 0-3 @ 5.76% ( 2-3 @ 3.02% ( 1-4 @ 2.65% ( 0-4 @ 2.59% ( 2-4 @ 1.36% ( 1-5 @ 0.95% ( 0-5 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.2% Total : 55.51% |