Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 42.05%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 32.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-0 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sevilla | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 32.23% ( | 25.72% ( | 42.05% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.34% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.34% ( | 49.66% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.33% ( | 71.67% ( |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.99% ( | 29.01% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.09% ( | 64.91% ( |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.55% ( | 23.45% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.54% ( | 57.45% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sevilla | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 1-0 @ 8.42% ( 2-1 @ 7.55% ( 2-0 @ 5.21% ( 3-1 @ 3.12% ( 3-2 @ 2.26% ( 3-0 @ 2.15% ( 4-1 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 2.57% Total : 32.23% | 1-1 @ 12.2% ( 0-0 @ 6.8% ( 2-2 @ 5.48% ( 3-3 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.71% | 0-1 @ 9.87% ( 1-2 @ 8.85% ( 0-2 @ 7.16% ( 1-3 @ 4.28% ( 0-3 @ 3.46% ( 2-3 @ 2.65% ( 1-4 @ 1.55% ( 0-4 @ 1.25% ( 2-4 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 2.02% Total : 42.05% |