Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 42.05%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 32.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-0 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
Result | ||
Sevilla | Draw | Real Sociedad |
32.23% ( -0.34) | 25.72% ( -0.3) | 42.05% ( 0.64) |
Both teams to score 54.34% ( 0.88) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.34% ( 1.18) | 49.66% ( -1.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.33% ( 1.05) | 71.67% ( -1.05) |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.99% ( 0.37) | 29.01% ( -0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.09% ( 0.45) | 64.91% ( -0.45) |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.55% ( 0.84) | 23.45% ( -0.84) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.54% ( 1.21) | 57.45% ( -1.2) |
Score Analysis |
Sevilla | Draw | Real Sociedad |
1-0 @ 8.42% ( -0.32) 2-1 @ 7.55% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.21% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 3.12% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.57% Total : 32.23% | 1-1 @ 12.2% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.33) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.71% | 0-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 8.85% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 7.16% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.28% ( 0.15) 0-3 @ 3.46% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.09) 0-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.02% Total : 42.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 33 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 71 | 22 | 49 | 84 |
2 | GironaGirona | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 69 | 40 | 29 | 71 |
3 | Barcelona | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 64 | 37 | 27 | 70 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 33 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 62 | 39 | 23 | 64 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 33 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 48 |
8 | Valencia | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 47 |
9 | Getafe | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 43 |
10 | Villarreal | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 42 |
11 | Osasuna | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 39 |
12 | AlavesAlaves | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 38 |
13 | Sevilla | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 37 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 37 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Mallorca | 32 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 31 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 32 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 25 |
19 | Granada | 32 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 33 | 61 | -28 | 18 |
20 | Almeria | 33 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 32 | 67 | -35 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |