Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 42.05%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 32.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-0 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.