Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 52.28%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 22.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (7.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Valencia |
| 52.28% ( | 25.2% ( | 22.52% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.57% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.34% ( | 53.66% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.84% ( | 75.15% ( |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.47% ( | 20.53% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.97% ( | 53.03% ( |
| Valencia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.12% ( | 38.88% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.39% ( | 75.6% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Valencia |
| 1-0 @ 12.63% ( 2-0 @ 10% ( 2-1 @ 9.45% ( 3-0 @ 5.28% ( 3-1 @ 4.99% ( 3-2 @ 2.36% ( 4-0 @ 2.09% ( 4-1 @ 1.98% 4-2 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.57% Total : 52.27% | 1-1 @ 11.93% 0-0 @ 7.98% ( 2-2 @ 4.47% ( Other @ 0.82% Total : 25.19% | 0-1 @ 7.54% ( 1-2 @ 5.64% ( 0-2 @ 3.56% ( 1-3 @ 1.78% ( 2-3 @ 1.41% ( 0-3 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 1.47% Total : 22.52% |