Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 56.39%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 19.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sevilla | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
56.39% ( -0.13) | 23.75% ( 0.04) | 19.87% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 49.24% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.07% ( -0.07) | 50.93% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.2% ( -0.06) | 72.8% ( 0.06) |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.12% ( -0.07) | 17.88% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.33% ( -0.13) | 48.66% ( 0.12) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.96% ( 0.04) | 40.04% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.31% ( 0.04) | 76.68% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Sevilla | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
1-0 @ 12.32% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.6% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.09% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.57% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.4% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.53% Total : 56.38% | 1-1 @ 11.28% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.44% ( 0) Other @ 0.86% Total : 23.74% | 0-1 @ 6.55% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.16% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.3% Total : 19.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 33 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 71 | 22 | 49 | 84 |
2 | GironaGirona | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 69 | 40 | 29 | 71 |
3 | Barcelona | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 64 | 37 | 27 | 70 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 33 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 62 | 39 | 23 | 64 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 33 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 48 |
8 | Valencia | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 47 |
9 | Getafe | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 43 |
10 | Villarreal | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 42 |
11 | Osasuna | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 39 |
12 | AlavesAlaves | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 38 |
13 | Sevilla | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 37 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 37 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Mallorca | 32 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 31 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 32 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 25 |
19 | Granada | 32 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 33 | 61 | -28 | 18 |
20 | Almeria | 33 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 32 | 67 | -35 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |