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La Liga | Gameweek 12
Oct 29, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
Rayo Vallecano logo

Sevilla
0 - 1
Rayo Vallecano


Isco (68'), Bono (76'), Dmitrovic (78'), Suso (79'), Sampaoli (81'), Navas (86'), Marcao (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Garcia (61')
Catena (63'), Iraola (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Rayo Vallecano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sevilla 3-0 Copenhagen
Tuesday, October 25 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 5-1 Cadiz
Saturday, October 22 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Sevilla 2-1 Rayo Vallecano

This has the potential to be a very difficult match for Sevilla, and it would certainly not be a surprise to see Rayo pick up a positive result here. Sevilla will have home advantage, though, and we are backing Sampaoli's side to secure an important three points in Spain's top flight. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 56.39%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 19.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
SevillaDrawRayo Vallecano
56.39% (-0.125 -0.13) 23.75% (0.044 0.04) 19.87% (0.078999999999997 0.08)
Both teams to score 49.24% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.07% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)50.93% (0.073 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.2% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)72.8% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.12% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)17.88% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.33% (-0.126 -0.13)48.66% (0.123 0.12)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.96% (0.042000000000002 0.04)40.04% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.31% (0.039000000000001 0.04)76.68% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Sevilla 56.38%
    Rayo Vallecano 19.87%
    Draw 23.74%
SevillaDrawRayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 12.32% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.6% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.71% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.09% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.57% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.62% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.55% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.4% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.9% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 56.38%
1-1 @ 11.28% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.16% (0.021 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 23.74%
0-1 @ 6.55% (0.028 0.03)
1-2 @ 5.16% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 3% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.58% (0.006 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 0.92% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.3%
Total : 19.87%

How you voted: Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano

Sevilla
74.7%
Draw
17.3%
Rayo Vallecano
8.0%
75
Head to Head
Mar 13, 2022 1pm
Aug 15, 2021 9.15pm
Sevilla
3-0
Rayo Vallecano
En-Nesyri (19' pen.), Lamela (55', 79')
Idrissi (45+5')

Zidane (16')
Apr 25, 2019 6.30pm
Sevilla
5-0
Rayo Vallecano
Promes (55'), El Haddadi (57', 62'), Ben Yedder (69'), Gil (86')
Banega (31')

Galvez (33'), Angel Pozo (52')
Aug 19, 2018 7.15pm
Rayo Vallecano
1-4
Sevilla
Embarba (85' pen.)
Angel Pozo (12')
Vazquez (15'), Silva (31', 45', 79')
Feb 21, 2016 11am
Rayo Vallecano
2-2
Sevilla
Manucho (43'), Miku (62')
Baena (16'), Sanchez (44'), Miku (58'), Embarba (64'), Llorente (75'), Hernandez (93')
Nzonzi (10'), Iborra (20')
Coke (59'), Banega (91')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona17122350193138
2Atletico MadridAtletico17115131112038
3Real Madrid17114237162137
4Athletic Bilbao1896327161133
5Mallorca188371821-327
6Villarreal157532725226
7Osasuna176742225-325
8Real Sociedad167361611524
9GironaGirona176472325-222
10Sevilla176471823-522
11Real BetisBetis165651820-221
12Celta Vigo176382528-321
13Rayo Vallecano165561819-120
14Las PalmasLas Palmas165382227-518
15Getafe173771114-316
16AlavesAlaves174491928-916
17Leganes163671423-915
18Espanyol1642101528-1314
19Real ValladolidValladolid1733111234-2212
20Valencia152491323-1010


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