Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 56.39%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 19.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sevilla | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
| 56.39% ( | 23.75% ( | 19.87% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.24% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.07% ( | 50.93% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.2% ( | 72.8% ( |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.12% ( | 17.88% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.33% ( | 48.66% ( |
| Rayo Vallecano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.96% ( | 40.04% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.31% ( | 76.68% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sevilla | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
| 1-0 @ 12.32% ( 2-0 @ 10.6% ( 2-1 @ 9.71% ( 3-0 @ 6.09% ( 3-1 @ 5.57% ( 4-0 @ 2.62% ( 3-2 @ 2.55% ( 4-1 @ 2.4% ( 4-2 @ 1.1% ( 5-0 @ 0.9% ( Other @ 2.53% Total : 56.38% | 1-1 @ 11.28% ( 0-0 @ 7.16% ( 2-2 @ 4.44% ( Other @ 0.86% Total : 23.74% | 0-1 @ 6.55% ( 1-2 @ 5.16% ( 0-2 @ 3% ( 1-3 @ 1.58% ( 2-3 @ 1.36% ( 0-3 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 1.3% Total : 19.87% |