Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 84.93%. A draw had a probability of 10.8% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 4.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.58%) and 1-0 (10.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.1%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (1.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barcelona | Draw | Getafe |
| 84.93% ( | 10.85% ( | 4.22% ( |
| Both teams to score 36.65% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.13% ( | 35.86% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.05% ( | 57.95% ( |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.97% ( | 6.02% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 77.05% ( | 22.95% ( |
| Getafe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 39% ( | 61% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 8.85% ( | 91.15% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Barcelona | Draw | Getafe |
| 2-0 @ 14.5% ( 3-0 @ 13.58% ( 1-0 @ 10.32% ( 4-0 @ 9.54% ( 2-1 @ 7.17% ( 3-1 @ 6.71% ( 5-0 @ 5.36% ( 4-1 @ 4.72% ( 5-1 @ 2.65% ( 6-0 @ 2.51% ( 3-2 @ 1.66% ( 6-1 @ 1.24% ( 4-2 @ 1.17% ( 7-0 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 2.8% Total : 84.93% | 1-1 @ 5.1% ( 0-0 @ 3.67% ( 2-2 @ 1.77% ( Other @ 0.3% Total : 10.85% | 0-1 @ 1.82% ( 1-2 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 1.14% Total : 4.22% |