Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 54.45%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 20.43%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Almeria in this match.
| Result | ||
| Almeria | Draw | Getafe |
| 54.45% ( | 25.13% ( | 20.43% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.12% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.49% ( | 55.51% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.31% ( | 76.69% ( |
| Almeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.62% ( | 20.38% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.2% ( | 52.8% ( |
| Getafe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.93% ( | 42.07% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.5% ( | 78.5% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Almeria | Draw | Getafe |
| 1-0 @ 13.63% ( 2-0 @ 10.84% ( 2-1 @ 9.39% ( 3-0 @ 5.75% ( 3-1 @ 4.98% ( 4-0 @ 2.29% ( 3-2 @ 2.16% ( 4-1 @ 1.98% ( Other @ 3.42% Total : 54.43% | 1-1 @ 11.8% ( 0-0 @ 8.57% ( 2-2 @ 4.07% ( Other @ 0.68% Total : 25.12% | 0-1 @ 7.42% ( 1-2 @ 5.11% ( 0-2 @ 3.21% ( 1-3 @ 1.48% ( 2-3 @ 1.17% ( 0-3 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 1.1% Total : 20.43% |