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Almeria
La Liga | Gameweek 14
Nov 9, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos
Getafe logo

Almeria
1 - 0
Getafe

Baptistao (26')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's La Liga clash between Almeria and Getafe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barcelona 2-0 Almeria
Saturday, November 5 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Getafe 0-0 Cadiz
Saturday, November 5 at 1pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 54.45%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 20.43%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Almeria in this match.

Result
AlmeriaDrawGetafe
54.45% (-0.372 -0.37)25.13% (0.082999999999998 0.08)20.43% (0.289 0.29)
Both teams to score 46.12% (0.171 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.49% (0.010999999999996 0.01)55.51% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.31% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)76.69% (-0.0089999999999861 -0.01)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.62% (-0.145 -0.14)20.38% (0.146 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.2% (-0.23099999999999 -0.23)52.8% (0.232 0.23)
Getafe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.93% (0.32100000000001 0.32)42.07% (-0.32 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.5% (0.275 0.27)78.5% (-0.27499999999999 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    Almeria 54.43%
    Getafe 20.43%
    Draw 25.12%
AlmeriaDrawGetafe
1-0 @ 13.63% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
2-0 @ 10.84% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 9.39% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.75% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-1 @ 4.98% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.29% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.16% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.98% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 54.43%
1-1 @ 11.8% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.57% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 4.07% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 25.12%
0-1 @ 7.42% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
1-2 @ 5.11% (0.065 0.07)
0-2 @ 3.21% (0.055 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.48% (0.031 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.17% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 0.93% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 1.1%
Total : 20.43%

How you voted: Almeria vs Getafe

Almeria
48.7%
Draw
30.3%
Getafe
21.1%
76
Head to Head
Feb 1, 2015 4pm
Almeria
1-0
Getafe
Mendez (44')
Verza (40'), Hemed (56'), Soriano (77'), Espinosa (93')
Hemed (82')

Hinestroza (26'), Castro (34'), Escudero (55'), Lago (90')
Escudero (63')
Jan 14, 2015 7pm
Getafe
1-0
Almeria
Vasquez (74')
Escudero (55')

Azeez (24'), Thomas (77'), Michel (85')
Jan 7, 2015 9pm
Almeria
1-1
Getafe
Verza (59' pen.)
Marín (54'), Wellington (74')
Verza (21' og.)
Hinestroza (31'), Lago (35'), Castro (45'), Naldo (86'), Rodríguez (90')
Aug 29, 2014 7pm
Getafe
1-0
Almeria
Vazquez (29')
Hinestroza (53'), Castro (81'), Sarabia (83')

Edgar (59'), Dos Santos (71')
Jan 26, 2014 11am
Almeria
1-0
Getafe
Zongo (49')
Tebar (76'), Dubarbier (89')

Sarabia (37'), Lacen (75')