Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 67.66%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Elche had a probability of 12.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.66%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.38%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (4.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.