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La Liga | Gameweek 19
Jan 28, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
Elche

Sevilla
3 - 0
Elche

En-Nesyri (29', 45+3'), Acuna (43')
FT(HT: 3-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Elche, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Osasuna 2-1 Sevilla
Wednesday, January 25 at 9pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Elche 1-1 Osasuna
Sunday, January 22 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 67.66%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Elche had a probability of 12.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.66%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.38%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (4.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.

Result
SevillaDrawElche
67.66% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)19.79% (0.071000000000002 0.07)12.55% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 45.51% (-0.28 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.53% (-0.346 -0.35)47.47% (0.34999999999999 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.31% (-0.324 -0.32)69.69% (0.328 0.33)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.96% (-0.11800000000001 -0.12)13.04% (0.122 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.39% (-0.246 -0.25)39.61% (0.249 0.25)
Elche Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.34% (-0.247 -0.25)47.66% (0.252 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.02% (-0.184 -0.18)82.98% (0.18899999999999 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Sevilla 67.65%
    Elche 12.55%
    Draw 19.79%
SevillaDrawElche
2-0 @ 12.89% (0.07 0.07)
1-0 @ 12.66% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 9.56% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.76% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.49% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-0 @ 4.46% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.3% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.4% (-0.032 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.82% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.35% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 67.65%
1-1 @ 9.38% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.22% (0.09 0.09)
2-2 @ 3.54% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 19.79%
0-1 @ 4.61% (0.035 0.04)
1-2 @ 3.48% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.71% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 12.55%

How you voted: Sevilla vs Elche

Sevilla
82.0%
Draw
11.5%
Elche
6.6%
61
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2022 8pm
Sevilla
2-0
Elche
Papu (70'), Mir (75')
Acuna (90')

Gonzalo (35'), Gumbau (36'), Badia (69'), Pastore (80'), Roco (90')
Aug 28, 2021 6.30pm
Mar 17, 2021 6pm
Sevilla
2-0
Elche
En-Nesyri (43'), Vazquez (89')
Gomez (10'), Oscar (39')

Mojica (78')
Mar 6, 2021 3.15pm
Elche
2-1
Sevilla
Guti (70'), Carrillo (76')
Marcone (2'), Boye (47'), Barragan (64'), Fidel (90+2')
De Jong (90')
Mar 15, 2015 6pm
Sevilla
3-0
Elche
Bacca (18' pen., 31'), Gameiro (81')
Krychowiak (33'), Banega (78')

Coro (17'), Angel (37'), Domingo (56')
rhs 2.0


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