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La Liga

Elche
La Liga | Gameweek 16
Jan 6, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero
Celta Vigo logo

Elche
0 - 1
Celta Vigo

FT(HT: 0-1)
Aspas (5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Elche and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Elche

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Ceuta 1-0 Elche
Tuesday, January 3 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

Celta Vigo

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Espanyol 3-1 Celta Vigo
Tuesday, January 3 at 6pm in Copa del Rey

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 46.89%. A win for Elche had a probability of 27.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (8.58%). The likeliest Elche win was 1-0 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Celta Vigo in this match.

Result
ElcheDrawCelta Vigo
27.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)25.91% (0.0040000000000013 0)46.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 50.95% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.23% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)52.77% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.6% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)74.39% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Elche Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.74% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)34.26% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)70.96% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)22.49% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.96% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)56.04% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Elche 27.2%
    Celta Vigo 46.89%
    Draw 25.9%
ElcheDrawCelta Vigo
1-0 @ 8.25% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 6.6%
2-0 @ 4.42% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 2.36%
3-2 @ 1.76% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 1.58%
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 27.2%
1-1 @ 12.31%
0-0 @ 7.7% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 4.92% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 25.9%
0-1 @ 11.49%
1-2 @ 9.19% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 8.58% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 4.57% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 4.27%
2-3 @ 2.45% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.71% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.59%
2-4 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 46.89%

How you voted: Elche vs Celta Vigo

Elche
17.9%
Draw
36.8%
Celta Vigo
45.3%
117
Head to Head
May 15, 2022 6.30pm
Celta Vigo
1-0
Elche
Suarez (9')
Galan (56'), Tapia (73')

Marcone (81'), Morente (90+3')
Oct 3, 2021 1pm
Elche
1-0
Celta Vigo
Benedetto (49')
Josan (35'), Barragan (58'), Mascarell (89'), Casilla (90+8')

Araujo (72'), Mallo (82'), Mina (90+9')
Feb 12, 2021 8pm
Celta Vigo
3-1
Elche
Mina (45', 68'), Mendez (45+2')
Mendez (53'), Ferreyra (78'), Aspas (82')
Rigoni (50')
Rigoni (36'), Gonzalo (82')
Nov 6, 2020 8pm
Elche
1-1
Celta Vigo
Fidel (4' pen.)
Gonzalez (13'), Boye (58'), Barragan (90+4')
Mina (41')
Suarez (5'), Olaza (72'), Aspas (81'), Rodriguez (90+2')
> Preview
Mar 2, 2015 7.45pm
Celta Vigo
1-1
Elche
Krohn-Dehli (61')
Radoja (22'), Mallo (41'), Fontas (63'), Cabral (69'), Lopez (83'), Krohn-Dehli (88')
Lomban (88' pen.)
Angel (23'), Cisma (57'), Herrera (94')
> Match Report