Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 49.5%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 25.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 49.5% ( | 24.86% ( | 25.64% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.87% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.36% ( | 49.64% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.34% ( | 71.65% ( |
| Rayo Vallecano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.92% ( | 20.07% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.69% ( | 52.31% ( |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.14% ( | 33.85% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.48% ( | 70.52% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 1-0 @ 10.91% ( 2-1 @ 9.49% ( 2-0 @ 8.76% ( 3-1 @ 5.08% ( 3-0 @ 4.69% ( 3-2 @ 2.75% ( 4-1 @ 2.04% ( 4-0 @ 1.88% ( 4-2 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 2.79% Total : 49.49% | 1-1 @ 11.81% 0-0 @ 6.8% ( 2-2 @ 5.14% ( 3-3 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.85% | 0-1 @ 7.36% ( 1-2 @ 6.4% ( 0-2 @ 3.99% ( 1-3 @ 2.31% ( 2-3 @ 1.86% ( 0-3 @ 1.44% ( Other @ 2.29% Total : 25.64% |