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La Liga | Gameweek 17
Jan 16, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla
Elche

Cadiz
1 - 1
Elche

Ocampo (7')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ponce (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Cadiz and Elche, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cadiz win with a probability of 43.06%. A win for Elche had a probability of 29.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cadiz win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Elche win was 0-1 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
CadizDrawElche
43.06% (-0.339 -0.34)27.44% (-0.19 -0.19)29.5% (0.527 0.53)
Both teams to score 47.86% (0.8 0.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.56% (0.886 0.89)57.44% (-0.887 -0.89)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.75% (0.698 0.7)78.24% (-0.699 -0.7)
Cadiz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.57% (0.233 0.23)26.42% (-0.235 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.41% (0.308 0.31)61.59% (-0.31 -0.31)
Elche Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.05% (0.88199999999999 0.88)34.95% (-0.884 -0.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.31% (0.918 0.92)71.69% (-0.91900000000001 -0.92)
Score Analysis
    Cadiz 43.06%
    Elche 29.5%
    Draw 27.44%
CadizDrawElche
1-0 @ 12.29% (-0.33 -0.33)
2-1 @ 8.6% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.18% (-0.17 -0.17)
3-1 @ 3.82% (0.039 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.63% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.01% (0.067 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.27% (0.021 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.21% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 43.06%
1-1 @ 12.92% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 9.24% (-0.317 -0.32)
2-2 @ 4.52% (0.123 0.12)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.44%
0-1 @ 9.71% (-0.095000000000001 -0.1)
1-2 @ 6.79% (0.141 0.14)
0-2 @ 5.1% (0.073 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.38% (0.105 0.11)
0-3 @ 1.79% (0.067 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.58% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 29.5%

How you voted: Cadiz vs Elche

Cadiz
80.0%
Draw
14.2%
Elche
5.8%
120
Head to Head
May 7, 2022 5.30pm
Cadiz
3-0
Elche
Negredo (80'), Sobrino (83'), Lozano (90+3')
Hernandez (20')

Ponce (66')
Dec 5, 2021 3.15pm
Elche
3-1
Cadiz
Fidel (13' pen.), Morente (75'), Josan (90+3')
Palacios (2'), Roco (23'), Fidel (26'), Marcone (28'), Gonzalez (69'), Gumbau (80'), Morente (83')
Fernandez (90+1')
Haroyan (58'), Lozano (69'), Akapo (78')
May 16, 2021 5.30pm
Cadiz
1-3
Elche
Mari (15' pen.)
Alejo (66'), Lozano (90+1'), Fali (90+3')
Milla (58'), Gonzalez (64'), Fidel (88')
Gonzalo (15'), Josan (53'), Fidel (73'), Gonzalez (76')
Nov 28, 2020 1pm
Elche
1-1
Cadiz
Boye (38')
Gonzalo (12'), Boye (12'), Milla (60'), Marcone (64'), Almiron (66'), Morente (90+3')
Boye (45+4')
Gimenez (55')
Alex (54'), Jonsson (68')
Jun 30, 2020 8.45pm
Elche
0-0
Cadiz

Escriche (29'), Gonzalo (52'), de Jesus (88')

Bodiger (45+4'), Pombo (79')