Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cadiz win with a probability of 43.06%. A win for Elche had a probability of 29.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cadiz win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Elche win was 0-1 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.