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La Liga | Gameweek 15
Dec 30, 2022 at 6.15pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla
Almeria

Cadiz
1 - 1
Almeria

Perez (83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Melero (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Cadiz and Almeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roma 0-3 Cadiz
Friday, December 16 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Almeria 1-0 Getafe
Wednesday, November 9 at 6pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cadiz win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 28.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cadiz win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Almeria win was 0-1 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
CadizDrawAlmeria
45.57% (1.049 1.05)26.29% (-0.69 -0.69)28.14% (-0.358 -0.36)
Both teams to score 50.47% (1.807 1.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.29% (2.44 2.44)53.71% (-2.44 -2.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.8% (2.017 2.02)75.19% (-2.017 -2.02)
Cadiz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.49% (1.584 1.58)23.51% (-1.584 -1.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.45% (2.241 2.24)57.54% (-2.242 -2.24)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.99% (1.017 1.02)34.01% (-1.017 -1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.31% (1.082 1.08)70.69% (-1.081 -1.08)
Score Analysis
    Cadiz 45.56%
    Almeria 28.14%
    Draw 26.28%
CadizDrawAlmeria
1-0 @ 11.57% (-0.58 -0.58)
2-1 @ 9.04% (0.225 0.23)
2-0 @ 8.38% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.36% (0.3 0.3)
3-0 @ 4.04% (0.172 0.17)
3-2 @ 2.35% (0.222 0.22)
4-1 @ 1.58% (0.175 0.18)
4-0 @ 1.46% (0.126 0.13)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 45.56%
1-1 @ 12.48% (-0.26 -0.26)
0-0 @ 8% (-0.794 -0.79)
2-2 @ 4.87% (0.251 0.25)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.28%
0-1 @ 8.62% (-0.598 -0.6)
1-2 @ 6.73% (0.045 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.65% (-0.186 -0.19)
1-3 @ 2.42% (0.082 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.75% (0.136 0.14)
0-3 @ 1.67% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 28.14%

How you voted: Cadiz vs Almeria

Cadiz
31.5%
Draw
43.8%
Almeria
24.7%
73
Head to Head
Feb 29, 2020 5.15pm
Cadiz
2-1
Almeria
Maras (16' og.), Alex (60')
Fali (37'), Perea (76')
Corpas (10')
Jonathan (77'), Costas (84')
Sep 29, 2019 3pm
Almeria
1-2
Cadiz
Corpas (77' pen.)
Maras (36'), Martos (94')
Lozano (69'), Espino (90')
Mari (26'), Lozano (71'), Alberto (94')
Mauro (76')
Jan 19, 2019 3pm
Almeria
0-0
Cadiz

Brice Eteki (17'), Carlos (21'), Martos (31'), Saveljich (90')

Ramos (35'), Lekic (42'), Mari (60')
Mari (75')
Aug 17, 2018 7pm
Cadiz
1-0
Almeria
Alex (76')
Matos (30'), Agra (56'), Mari (71'), Aketxe (88')

Gassama (2'), Owona (28'), Rioja (50'), Chema (52')
Apr 6, 2018 8pm
Cadiz
0-0
Almeria

Valderrama (18')

Panadero (23'), Nano (38'), Trujillo (75')