Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 57.9%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 18.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.32%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sevilla in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sevilla.
Result | ||
Sevilla | Draw | Cadiz |
57.9% ( 0.08) | 23.72% ( 0.11) | 18.38% ( -0.19) |
Both teams to score 46.92% ( -0.62) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.25% ( -0.66) | 52.75% ( 0.66) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.62% ( -0.57) | 74.38% ( 0.56) |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82% ( -0.22) | 18% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.13% ( -0.37) | 48.86% ( 0.37) |
Cadiz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.22% ( -0.6) | 42.78% ( 0.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.89% ( -0.52) | 79.1% ( 0.51) |
Score Analysis |
Sevilla | Draw | Cadiz |
1-0 @ 13.2% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 11.32% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 6.47% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.5% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.78% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.36% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.38% Total : 57.9% | 1-1 @ 11.21% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.7% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.72% Total : 23.71% | 0-1 @ 6.54% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.8% Total : 18.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 33 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 71 | 22 | 49 | 84 |
2 | GironaGirona | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 69 | 40 | 29 | 71 |
3 | Barcelona | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 64 | 37 | 27 | 70 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 33 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 62 | 39 | 23 | 64 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 33 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 33 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Valencia | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 43 |
11 | Osasuna | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 39 |
12 | Sevilla | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 38 |
13 | AlavesAlaves | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 38 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 37 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 27 | 42 | -15 | 34 |
16 | Mallorca | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 32 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 33 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 36 | 61 | -25 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 33 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 32 | 67 | -35 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |