La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 21

Feb 12, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estadio de la Cerámica

Villarreal
0 - 1
Barcelona

FT(HT: 0-1)

Pedri (18')

Reaction

FC Barcelona coach Xavi reacts on January 8, 2023

Xavi: 'Barcelona not comfortable despite 11-point lead'

Barcelona boss Xavi insists that his side are not comfortable at the top of La Liga despite boasting an 11-point lead over Real Madrid.

Feb 14, 19:21

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Villarreal

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Elche 3-1 Villarreal
Saturday, February 4 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Barcelona

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Barcelona 3-0 Sevilla
Sunday, February 5 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 63.77%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Villarreal had a probability of 16.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.11%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.51%), while for a Villarreal win it was 1-0 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result
Villarreal	Draw	Barcelona
16.05% ( -0.11)	20.18% ( 0.24)	63.77% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 53.38% (

-1.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.26% (

-1.31)

41.73% (

1.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.86% (

-1.33)

64.13% (

1.33)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.95% (

-0.94)

39.05% (

0.94)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.23% (

-0.9)

75.77% (

0.89)

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.58% (

-0.43)

12.42% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.67% (

-0.9)

38.32% (

0.9)

Score Analysis

Villarreal 16.05%

Barcelona 63.76%

Draw 20.18%

Villarreal	Draw	Barcelona
1-0 @ 4.56% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 4.47% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 2.14% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.01% Total : 16.05%	1-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.14% Total : 20.18%	0-2 @ 10.55% ( 0.28) 0-1 @ 10.11% ( 0.42) 1-2 @ 9.92% ( 0) 0-3 @ 7.34% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 6.9% ( -0.11) 0-4 @ 3.83% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 3.6% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 3.24% ( -0.14) 2-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.1) 0-5 @ 1.6% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 1.5% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.49% Total : 63.76%