Copa del Rey
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fvillog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Frmilog.png)
-
Etienne Capoue
4'
-
Samuel Chukwueze
42'
-
Vinicius Junior
57'
-
Eder Militao
69'
-
Dani Ceballos
86'
Villarreal vs Real Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F02%2Fcarlo-ancelotti.jpg)
The match
Result
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F03%2Fvilrma_2.JPG)
Team News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F01%2Freal-madrid.jpg)
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F02%2Fvalrma.JPG)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F33%2Fdavid-alaba.jpeg)
Injuries & Suspensions
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F32%2Fdavid-alaba.JPG)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 46.09%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 30.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.84%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 2-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
Result
Villarreal
30.43%
▲
(+0.10)
Draw
23.47%
▼
(-0.23)
Real Madrid
46.09%
▲
(+0.13)
Both Teams to Score:
61.22%
▲
(+0.88)
Goals
Over 2.5
59.71%
▲
(+1.13)
Under 2.5
40.29%
▼
(-1.13)
Over 3.5
37.34%
▲
(+1.15)
Under 3.5
62.66%
▼
(-1.16)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5
74.45%
▲
(+0.63)
Under 0.5
25.54%
▼
(-0.63)
Over 1.5
39.59%
▲
(+0.85)
Under 1.5
60.41%
▼
(-0.85)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5
82.22%
▲
(+0.50)
Under 0.5
17.77%
▼
(-0.50)
Over 1.5
51.52%
▲
(+0.85)
Under 1.5
48.48%
▼
(-0.85)
Score analysis
Villarreal
30.43%
Draw
23.47%
Real Madrid
46.09%
Villarreal
2-1
@
7.3%
▲
(+0.01)
1-0 @ 6.2% ▼ (-0.22)
2-0 @ 4.23% ▼ (-0.07)
3-1 @ 3.32% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 2.87% ▲ (+0.10)
3-0 @ 1.92% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 30.43%
1-0 @ 6.2% ▼ (-0.22)
2-0 @ 4.23% ▼ (-0.07)
3-1 @ 3.32% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 2.87% ▲ (+0.10)
3-0 @ 1.92% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 30.43%
Draw
1-1
@
10.7%
▼
(-0.20)
2-2 @ 6.31% ▲ (+0.10)
0-0 @ 4.54% ▼ (-0.24)
3-3 @ 1.65% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.47%
2-2 @ 6.31% ▲ (+0.10)
0-0 @ 4.54% ▼ (-0.24)
3-3 @ 1.65% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.47%
Real Madrid
1-2
@
9.25%
▼
(-0.02)
0-1 @ 7.84% ▼ (-0.29)
0-2 @ 6.77% ▼ (-0.14)
1-3 @ 5.32% ▲ (+0.08)
0-3 @ 3.9% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 3.63% ▲ (+0.12)
1-4 @ 2.3% ▲ (+0.07)
0-4 @ 1.69% ▲ (+0.03)
2-4 @ 1.57% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 46.09%
0-1 @ 7.84% ▼ (-0.29)
0-2 @ 6.77% ▼ (-0.14)
1-3 @ 5.32% ▲ (+0.08)
0-3 @ 3.9% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 3.63% ▲ (+0.12)
1-4 @ 2.3% ▲ (+0.07)
0-4 @ 1.69% ▲ (+0.03)
2-4 @ 1.57% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 46.09%
Head to Head
La Liga
Gameweek
16
-
Yeremy Pino
47'
-
Gerard Moreno
63'
-
Karim Benzema
60'
La Liga
Gameweek
24
-
Juan Foyth
23'
-
Raul Albiol
51'
-
Eder Militao
23'
-
Marco Asensio
29'
-
Gareth Bale
45'+2'
-
Casemiro
88'
La Liga
Gameweek
7
-
Vinicius Junior
40'
-
Francis Coquelin
55'
-
Moi Gomez
70'
La Liga
Gameweek
38
-
Karim Benzema
87'
-
Luka Modric
90'+2'
-
Yeremi Pino
20'
La Liga
Gameweek
10
-
Gerard Moreno
76'
-
Yeremi Pino
90'+1'
-
Mariano
2'
-
Nacho
68'
-
Toni Kroos
90'+3'
La Liga
Gameweek
37
-
Karim Benzema
29'
-
Dani Carvajal
54'
-
Luka Modric
62'
-
Karim Benzema
77'
-
Isco
86'
-
Sofian Chakla
18'
-
Xavier Quintilla
68'
-
Vicente Iborra
83'
Form Data
Build-up
News
News