La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 16

Jan 7, 2023 at 3.15pm UK

Estadio de la Cerámica

Villarreal
2 - 1
Real Madrid

Pino (47'), Moreno (63' pen.)

FT(HT: 0-0)

Benzema (60' pen.)

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Villarreal

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Cartagena 1-5 Villarreal
Tuesday, January 3 at 6pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Top scorers

Real Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Cacereno 0-1 Real Madrid
Tuesday, January 3 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 49.72%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 26.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.54%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 2-1 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
Villarreal	Draw	Real Madrid
26.36% ( 0.14)	23.91% ( 0.18)	49.72% ( -0.31)

Both teams to score 56.64% (

-0.47)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.03% (

-0.68)

44.97% (

0.68)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.67% (

-0.66)

67.32% (

0.66)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.21% (

-0.25)

30.79% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.94% (

-0.3)

67.05% (

0.3)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.83% (

-0.38)

18.17% (

0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.85% (

-0.65)

49.15% (

0.65)

Score Analysis

Villarreal 26.36%

Real Madrid 49.73%

Draw 23.9%

Villarreal	Draw	Real Madrid
2-1 @ 6.62% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 3.88% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 2.6% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.94% Total : 26.36%	1-1 @ 11.23% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.9%	1-2 @ 9.58% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 8.14% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 5.45% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 4.63% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 2.32% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.97% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.52% Total : 49.73%