Copa del Rey
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Rodrygo
69'
Cacereno vs Real Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
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The match
Team News
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Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
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Injuries & Suspensions
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 69.56%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Cacereno had a probability of 12.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.91%) and 1-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.46%), while for a Cacereno win it was 1-0 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
Result
Cacereno
12.5%
▲
(+0.35)
Draw
17.94%
▲
(+0.11)
Real Madrid
69.56%
▼
(-0.46)
Both Teams to Score:
51.59%
▲
(+0.75)
Goals
Over 2.5
60.69%
▲
(+0.41)
Under 2.5
39.31%
▼
(-0.41)
Over 3.5
38.36%
▲
(+0.43)
Under 3.5
61.65%
▼
(-0.43)
Cacereno Goals
Over 0.5
57.45%
▲
(+0.83)
Under 0.5
42.55%
▼
(-0.84)
Over 1.5
21.09%
▲
(+0.70)
Under 1.5
78.91%
▼
(-0.71)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5
89.81%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
10.2%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
66.52%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 1.5
33.48%
▲
(+0.01)
Score analysis
Cacereno
12.5%
Draw
17.94%
Real Madrid
69.55%
Cacereno
1-0
@
3.71%
▲
(+0.02)
2-1 @ 3.62% ▲ (+0.10)
2-0 @ 1.58% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 1.18% ▲ (+0.06)
3-1 @ 1.03% ▼ (-96.97)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 12.5%
2-1 @ 3.62% ▲ (+0.10)
2-0 @ 1.58% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 1.18% ▲ (+0.06)
3-1 @ 1.03% ▼ (-96.97)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 12.5%
Draw
1-1
@
8.46%
▲
(+0.04)
0-0 @ 4.34% ▼ (-0.09)
2-2 @ 4.13% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 17.94%
0-0 @ 4.34% ▼ (-0.09)
2-2 @ 4.13% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 17.94%
Real Madrid
0-2
@
11.3%
▼
(-0.22)
0-1 @ 9.91% ▼ (-0.19)
1-2 @ 9.66% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 8.61% ▼ (-0.17)
1-3 @ 7.35% ▲ (+0.03)
0-4 @ 4.91% ▼ (-0.10)
1-4 @ 4.2% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.14% ▲ (+0.09)
0-5 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.05)
1-5 @ 1.92% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.79% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 4.52%
Total : 69.55%
0-1 @ 9.91% ▼ (-0.19)
1-2 @ 9.66% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 8.61% ▼ (-0.17)
1-3 @ 7.35% ▲ (+0.03)
0-4 @ 4.91% ▼ (-0.10)
1-4 @ 4.2% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.14% ▲ (+0.09)
0-5 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.05)
1-5 @ 1.92% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.79% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 4.52%
Total : 69.55%