Copa del Rey | Round of 32

Jan 3, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estadio Príncipe Felipe

Cacereno
0 - 1
Real Madrid

FT(HT: 0-0)

Rodrygo (69')

Reaction

Real Madrid boss Carlo Ancelotti on August 10, 2022

Carlo Ancelotti unhappy with state of pitch in Cacereno clash

Real Madrid boss Carlo Ancelotti slams the surface that his side had to play on in Tuesday's Copa del Rey contest with Cacereno.

Jan 4, 13:29

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Cacereno

Last Game: Cacereno 2-1 Girona
Thursday, December 22 at 6pm in Copa del Rey

Real Madrid

All competitions

Last Game: Valladolid 0-2 Real Madrid
Friday, December 30 at 8.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 69.56%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Cacereno had a probability of 12.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.91%) and 1-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.46%), while for a Cacereno win it was 1-0 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Cacereno	Draw	Real Madrid
12.5% ( 0.35)	17.94% ( 0.11)	69.56% ( -0.46)

Both teams to score 51.59% (

0.74)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.69% (

0.4)

39.31% (

-0.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.36% (

0.42)

61.65% (

-0.42)

Cacereno Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.45% (

0.83)

42.55% (

-0.83)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.09% (

0.7)

78.91% (

-0.7)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.81% (

-0)

10.2% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.52% (

-0.01)

33.48% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Cacereno 12.5%

Real Madrid 69.55%

Draw 17.94%

Cacereno	Draw	Real Madrid
1-0 @ 3.71% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 3.62% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 1.58% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.38% Total : 12.5%	1-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.34% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.13% ( 0.11) Other @ 1.01% Total : 17.94%	0-2 @ 11.3% ( -0.22) 0-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 9.66% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 8.61% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 7.35% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 4.91% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 4.2% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.08) 0-5 @ 2.24% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 1.92% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.79% ( 0.05) Other @ 4.52% Total : 69.55%