La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 15

Dec 31, 2022 at 3.15pm UK

Estadio de la Cerámica

Villarreal
2 - 1
Valencia

Chukwueze (45'), Foyth (88')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Cavani (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Villarreal

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: CD Guijuelo 1-2 Villarreal
Tuesday, December 20 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Top scorers

Valencia

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Valencia 1-2 Nott'm Forest
Friday, December 16 at 6.30pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 57.02%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 19.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result
Villarreal	Draw	Valencia
57.02% ( -0.74)	23.26% ( 0.12)	19.72% ( 0.62)

Both teams to score 50.46% (

0.67)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.83% (

0.37)

49.17% (

-0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.76% (

0.34)

71.24% (

-0.33)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.98% (

-0.13)

17.02% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.85% (

-0.22)

47.15% (

0.22)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.81% (

0.9)

39.19% (

-0.9)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.1% (

0.83)

75.9% (

-0.83)

Score Analysis

Villarreal 57.01%

Valencia 19.72%

Draw 23.26%

Villarreal	Draw	Valencia
1-0 @ 11.81% ( -0.23) 2-0 @ 10.45% ( -0.25) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.17% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 5.78% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.73% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.56% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.93% Total : 57.01%	1-1 @ 11.06% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.67% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.94% Total : 23.26%	0-1 @ 6.25% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.4% Total : 19.72%