Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 38.45%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 34.54% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 0-1 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Espanyol | Draw | Villarreal |
| 38.45% ( | 27.01% ( | 34.54% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.74% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.47% ( | 54.53% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.12% ( | 75.88% ( |
| Espanyol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.42% ( | 27.58% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.89% ( | 63.1% ( |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.06% ( | 29.93% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.96% ( | 66.04% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Espanyol | Draw | Villarreal |
| 1-0 @ 10.63% ( 2-1 @ 8.26% ( 2-0 @ 6.85% ( 3-1 @ 3.55% ( 3-0 @ 2.94% ( 3-2 @ 2.14% ( 4-1 @ 1.14% ( 4-0 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 1.99% Total : 38.44% | 1-1 @ 12.82% ( 0-0 @ 8.26% ( 2-2 @ 4.98% ( Other @ 0.95% Total : 27.01% | 0-1 @ 9.96% ( 1-2 @ 7.74% ( 0-2 @ 6.01% ( 1-3 @ 3.11% ( 0-3 @ 2.41% ( 2-3 @ 2% ( 1-4 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 2.37% Total : 34.54% |