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La Liga | Gameweek 14
Nov 10, 2022 at 7pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
Real Betis logo

Valencia
3 - 0
Betis

Almeida (63'), Guillamon (81' pen.), Kluivert (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Real Betis, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Real Sociedad 1-1 Valencia
Sunday, November 6 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 38.37%. A win for Real Betis had a probability of 34.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Real Betis win was 0-1 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.

Result
ValenciaDrawReal Betis
38.37% (0.499 0.5)27.21% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)34.42% (-0.487 -0.49)
Both teams to score 50.1% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.66% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)55.34% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.45% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)76.55% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.99% (0.28 0.28)28.01% (-0.276 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.34% (0.353 0.35)63.66% (-0.349 -0.35)
Real Betis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.59% (-0.32000000000001 -0.32)30.41% (0.324 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.39% (-0.386 -0.39)66.62% (0.389 0.39)
Score Analysis
    Valencia 38.36%
    Real Betis 34.42%
    Draw 27.21%
ValenciaDrawReal Betis
1-0 @ 10.84% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 8.21% (0.061 0.06)
2-0 @ 6.9% (0.112 0.11)
3-1 @ 3.48% (0.053 0.05)
3-0 @ 2.93% (0.07 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.07% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.11% (0.025 0.03)
4-0 @ 0.93% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 38.36%
1-1 @ 12.9%
0-0 @ 8.52% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.89% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 27.21%
0-1 @ 10.14% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-2 @ 7.68% (-0.071000000000001 -0.07)
0-2 @ 6.04% (-0.104 -0.1)
1-3 @ 3.05% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-3 @ 2.39% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.94% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 0.91% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 34.42%

How you voted: Valencia vs Betis

Valencia
26.1%
Draw
16.1%
Real Betis
57.8%
161
Head to Head
May 10, 2022 6pm
Valencia
0-3
Betis

Alderete (31')
Jose (57'), Canales (87'), Iglesias (90')
Canales (45'), Rodri (60'), Bartra (83')
Apr 23, 2022 9pm
Betis
1-1
Valencia
Betis win 5-4 on penalties
Iglesias (11')
Carvalho (14'), Pezzella (72'), Iglesias (95'), Tello (113')
Duro (30')
Paulista (5'), Guillamon (74'), Alderete (90+2'), Correia (90+3'), Soler (98')
Oct 27, 2021 7pm
Betis
4-1
Valencia
Iglesias (14' pen., 30'), Pezzella (61'), Juanmi (68')
Ruiz (37'), Rodriguez (54')
Paulista (39')
Alderete (12'), Guillamon (49'), Guedes (70'), Foulquier (73'), Vallejo (77')
Apr 18, 2021 5.30pm
Betis
2-2
Valencia
Fekir (12'), Canales (42')
Miranda (74'), Lainez (80'), Ruiz (84')
Guedes (22'), Soler (61' pen.)
Wass (90+3')
Oct 3, 2020 8pm
Valencia
0-2
Betis

Guedes (12'), Guillamon (45')
Canales (19'), Tello (74')
Bartra (2'), Canales (53')
rhs 2.0


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