Ludogorets will fancy their chances on home soil having already beaten both Roma and HJK in front of their own fans, and they pushed Real Betis all the way in the reverse fixture despite losing 3-2 in Spain.
Nevertheless, Pellegrini's men will be regarded as favourites for Thursday's contest and they should have enough quality to secure maximum points and seal top spot in Group C.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 52.75%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Ludogorets Razgrad had a probability of 23.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.74%) and 0-2 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Ludogorets Razgrad win it was 1-0 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Real Betis in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Real Betis.
0.03) 
-0.05) 
