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Real Madrid logo
Supercopa de Espana | Semi-Finals
Jan 11, 2023 at 7pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Valencia logo

Real Madrid
1 - 1
Valencia

Benzema (39' pen.)
Camavinga (28'), Nacho (109')
FT
(aet)
Lino (46')
Kluivert (31'), Comert (38'), Cavani (92'), Almeida (99')
Real Madrid win 4-3 on penalties

The Match

Match Report

Real Madrid advance to the final of the Spanish Super Cup courtesy of a penalty-shootout success over Valencia on Wednesday night.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's Supercopa de Espana clash between Real Madrid and Valencia.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Supercopa de Espana clash between Real Madrid and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Wednesday's Spanish Super Cup semi-final with Valencia.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their Spanish Super Cup semi-final with Valencia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions
Last Game: Villarreal 2-1 Real Madrid
Saturday, January 7 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Valencia

All competitions
Last Game: Valencia 0-1 Cadiz
Friday, January 6 at 8pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 63.93%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 15.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.89%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (4.77%).

Result
Real MadridDrawValencia
63.93% (0.256 0.26) 20.47% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05) 15.59% (-0.212 -0.21)
Both teams to score 51.31% (-0.337 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.06% (-0.20200000000001 -0.2)43.94% (0.199 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.67% (-0.19900000000001 -0.2)66.33% (0.19499999999999 0.19)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.95% (0.010999999999996 0.01)13.05% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.38% (0.024999999999999 0.02)39.62% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.01% (-0.398 -0.4)40.99% (0.395 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.46% (-0.357 -0.36)77.54% (0.355 0.36)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 63.93%
    Valencia 15.6%
    Draw 20.47%
Real MadridDrawValencia
2-0 @ 11.09% (0.11 0.11)
1-0 @ 10.89% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.53% (0.076 0.08)
3-1 @ 6.72% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
4-0 @ 3.83% (0.041 0.04)
4-1 @ 3.42%
3-2 @ 3% (-0.034 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.56% (0.017 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.53% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.39%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 63.93%
1-1 @ 9.71% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.35% (0.046 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.41% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 1%
Total : 20.47%
0-1 @ 4.77% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.33% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
0-2 @ 2.13% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.31% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.29% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 15.6%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Valencia

Real Madrid
86.2%
Draw
8.4%
Valencia
5.4%
167
Head to Head
Jan 8, 2022 8pm
Real Madrid
4-1
Valencia
Benzema (43' pen., 88'), Junior (52', 61')
Casemiro (14'), Militao (26'), Mendy (75')
Guedes (76')
Piccini (51'), Musah (58'), Cheryshev (84')
Sep 19, 2021 8pm
Valencia
1-2
Real Madrid
Duro (66')
Paulista (39')
Junior (86'), Benzema (88')
Casemiro (45+4'), Nacho (56'), Rodrygo (81'), Junior (90+2'), Camavinga (90+3')
Feb 14, 2021 3.15pm
Real Madrid
2-0
Valencia
Benzema (12'), Kroos (42')

Guedes (27'), Racic (44'), Correia (46')
Nov 8, 2020 8pm
Valencia
4-1
Real Madrid
Soler (35' pen., 54' pen., 63' pen.), Varane (43' og.)
Soler (41'), Guillamon (84'), Domenech (86')
Benzema (23')
Marcelo (52'), Ramos (62')
> Match Report
Jun 18, 2020 9pm
Real Madrid
3-0
Valencia
rhs 2.0
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