La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 29

Jun 18, 2020 at 9pm UK

Santiago Bernabeu

Real Madrid
3 - 0
Valencia

Benzema (61', 86'), Asensio (74')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Gaya (24'), Sanmartin (84')
Kang-in (89')

Reaction

Marco Asensio celebrates scoring for Real Madrid on June 18, 2020

Zinedine Zidane "very happy" for returning Marco Asensio

Marco Asensio ruptured the anterior cruciate ligaments in his left leg during a friendly with Arsenal last July.

Jun 19, 08:10

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 67.48%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 13.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.84%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (3.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real Madrid	Draw	Valencia
67.48%	18.76%	13.76%

Both teams to score 52.48%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.97%

40.03%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.61%

62.39%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.08%

10.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.9%

35.1%

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.91%

41.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.37%

77.63%

Score Analysis

Real Madrid 67.48%

Valencia 13.76%

Draw 18.76%

Real Madrid	Draw	Valencia
2-0 @ 11% 1-0 @ 9.94% 2-1 @ 9.79% 3-0 @ 8.12% 3-1 @ 7.23% 4-0 @ 4.5% 4-1 @ 4% 3-2 @ 3.21% 5-0 @ 1.99% 4-2 @ 1.78% 5-1 @ 1.77% Other @ 4.15% Total : 67.48%	1-1 @ 8.84% 0-0 @ 4.49% 2-2 @ 4.35% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.13% Total : 18.76%	0-1 @ 3.99% 1-2 @ 3.93% 0-2 @ 1.78% 2-3 @ 1.29% 1-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.61% Total : 13.76%