Copa del Rey | Round of 32
Jan 3, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio Camilo Cano
Valencia logo

La Nucia
0 - 3
Valencia

FT(HT: 0-2)
Kluivert (3'), Moriba (31'), Duro (72')
Coverage of the Copa del Rey Round of 32 clash between La Nucia and Valencia.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: La Nucia 0-0 Las Palmas (6-5 pen.)
Thursday, December 22 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
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Last Game: Villarreal 2-1 Valencia
Saturday, December 31 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 49.39%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for La Nucia had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.74%) and 1-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for a La Nucia win it was 1-0 (8.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.

Result
La NuciaDrawValencia
24.1% (1.362 1.36)26.52% (0.084 0.08)49.39% (-1.442 -1.44)
Both teams to score 46.58% (1.161 1.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.85% (0.789 0.79)57.15% (-0.786 -0.79)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.99% (0.627 0.63)78.01% (-0.62299999999999 -0.62)
La Nucia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.67% (1.75 1.75)39.33% (-1.746 -1.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.96% (1.595 1.6)76.04% (-1.592 -1.59)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.78% (-0.309 -0.31)23.22% (0.311 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.88% (-0.454 -0.45)57.12% (0.457 0.46)
Score Analysis
    La Nucia 24.1%
    Valencia 49.38%
    Draw 26.51%
La NuciaDrawValencia
1-0 @ 8.52% (0.15 0.15)
2-1 @ 5.81% (0.317 0.32)
2-0 @ 3.98% (0.252 0.25)
3-1 @ 1.81% (0.179 0.18)
3-2 @ 1.32% (0.119 0.12)
3-0 @ 1.24% (0.133 0.13)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 24.1%
1-1 @ 12.44% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 9.13% (-0.278 -0.28)
2-2 @ 4.24% (0.195 0.2)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 26.51%
0-1 @ 13.33% (-0.53 -0.53)
0-2 @ 9.74% (-0.474 -0.47)
1-2 @ 9.09% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.74% (-0.281 -0.28)
1-3 @ 4.42% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.06% (0.077 0.08)
0-4 @ 1.73% (-0.119 -0.12)
1-4 @ 1.61% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 49.38%

How you voted: La Nucia vs Valencia

La Nucia
23.3%
Draw
26.7%
Valencia
50.0%
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