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La Liga | Gameweek 17
Jan 13, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio de BalaĆ­dos
Villarreal logo

Celta Vigo
1 - 1
Villarreal

FT(HT: 0-1)
Moreno (15')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 41.71%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 32.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-0 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.

Result
Celta VigoDrawVillarreal
32.89% (0.472 0.47)25.4% (0.024000000000001 0.02)41.71% (-0.497 -0.5)
Both teams to score 55.61% (0.081999999999994 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.88% (0.031999999999996 0.03)48.12% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.72% (0.031000000000002 0.03)70.28% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.16% (0.31699999999999 0.32)27.83% (-0.317 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.57% (0.40300000000001 0.4)63.43% (-0.404 -0.4)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.06% (-0.226 -0.23)22.94% (0.226 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.28% (-0.33300000000001 -0.33)56.71% (0.334 0.33)
Score Analysis
    Celta Vigo 32.89%
    Villarreal 41.71%
    Draw 25.4%
Celta VigoDrawVillarreal
1-0 @ 8.17% (0.061 0.06)
2-1 @ 7.69% (0.074 0.07)
2-0 @ 5.22% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
3-1 @ 3.28% (0.06 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.41% (0.029 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.23% (0.055 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.05% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 32.89%
1-1 @ 12.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.39% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.66% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.4%
0-1 @ 9.4% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
1-2 @ 8.85% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
0-2 @ 6.92% (-0.103 -0.1)
1-3 @ 4.34% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-3 @ 3.4% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.78% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.6% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.25% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.02% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 41.71%

How you voted: Celta Vigo vs Villarreal

Celta Vigo
13.4%
Draw
26.1%
Villarreal
60.6%
142
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2022 5.30pm
Nov 20, 2021 1pm
May 9, 2021 5.30pm
Villarreal
2-4
Celta Vigo
Gomez (25'), Moreno (87' pen.)
Estupinan (5'), Asenjo (33'), Pino (89')
Rulli (45+4'), Gaspar (45+7')
Mina (19', 34'), Mendez (45+3' pen.), Solari (57')
Araujo (44'), Ferreyra (79')
Ferreyra (88')
Jan 8, 2021 8pm
Celta Vigo
0-4
Villarreal

Mendez (58')
Moreno (5'), Gomez (14'), Parejo (19'), Nino (31')
Jun 13, 2020 4pm
rhs 2.0


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