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La Liga | Gameweek 19
Jan 30, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio de la CerĂ¡mica
Rayo Vallecano logo

Villarreal
0 - 1
Rayo Vallecano

FT(HT: 0-0)
Camello (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Rayo Vallecano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 48.99%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 26.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
VillarrealDrawRayo Vallecano
48.99% (0.38 0.38)24.64% (-0.166 -0.17)26.36% (-0.213 -0.21)
Both teams to score 54.22% (0.346 0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.83% (0.542 0.54)48.17% (-0.54000000000001 -0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.67% (0.496 0.5)70.33% (-0.494 -0.49)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.3% (0.372 0.37)19.7% (-0.372 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.29% (0.601 0.6)51.71% (-0.599 -0.6)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.52% (0.119 0.12)32.48% (-0.117 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.99% (0.132 0.13)69.01% (-0.129 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Villarreal 48.99%
    Rayo Vallecano 26.36%
    Draw 24.64%
VillarrealDrawRayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 10.39% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-1 @ 9.5% (0.039 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.44% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.14% (0.08 0.08)
3-0 @ 4.57% (0.056 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.89% (0.054 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.09% (0.056 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.86% (0.044 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.17% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 48.99%
1-1 @ 11.69% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 6.4% (-0.144 -0.14)
2-2 @ 5.34% (0.038 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.64%
0-1 @ 7.2% (-0.139 -0.14)
1-2 @ 6.57% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.05% (-0.065 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2% (0.021 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.52% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 26.36%

How you voted: Villarreal vs Rayo Vallecano

Villarreal
84.6%
Draw
13.6%
Rayo Vallecano
1.8%
169
Head to Head
May 12, 2022 7pm
Rayo Vallecano
1-5
Villarreal
Guardiola (21')
Maras (30'), Garcia (45+2'), Comesana (45+2'), Lopez (76'), Sylla (77')
Pedraza (3', 88'), Foyth (27'), Alcacer (38'), Torres (45+1')
Emery (61'), Rulli (61'), Albiol (82')
Dec 12, 2021 1pm
Villarreal
2-0
Rayo Vallecano
Mandi (32'), Moreno (36' pen.)
Torres (23')

Catena (37'), Isi (38'), Garcia (61')
Jan 29, 2020 6pm
Round of 16
Rayo Vallecano
0-2
Villarreal

Milic (28')
Nino (84'), Cazorla (85')
Funes Mori (25'), Cazorla (80')
Mar 17, 2019 5.30pm
Nov 11, 2018 5.30pm