Copa del Rey | Round of 32
Jan 3, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Municipal El Molinón
Rayo Vallecano logo

Sporting Gijon
2 - 0
Rayo Vallecano

Milovanovic (57', 88')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Copa del Rey Round of 32 clash between Sporting Gijon and Rayo Vallecano.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Gijon

All competitions
Copa del Rey
Last Game: Numancia 0-3 Sporting Gijon
Wednesday, December 21 at 6pm in Copa del Rey

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions
Copa del Rey
Last Game: Girona 2-2 Rayo Vallecano
Thursday, December 29 at 4pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 35.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Gijon would win this match.

Result
Sporting GijonDrawRayo Vallecano
37.78% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)26.49% (0.094000000000001 0.09)35.73% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Both teams to score 52.55% (-0.297 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.7% (-0.379 -0.38)52.3% (0.387 0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.01% (-0.324 -0.32)73.99% (0.333 0.33)
Sporting Gijon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.09% (-0.21900000000001 -0.22)26.91% (0.228 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.77% (-0.293 -0.29)62.24% (0.301 0.3)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.9% (-0.18599999999999 -0.19)28.11% (0.194 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.23% (-0.239 -0.24)63.78% (0.248 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Gijon 37.78%
    Rayo Vallecano 35.73%
    Draw 26.49%
Sporting GijonDrawRayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 9.93% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
2-1 @ 8.27% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.52% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.62% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.85% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.19% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 0.94% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 37.78%
1-1 @ 12.6% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 7.56% (0.115 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.25% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.49%
0-1 @ 9.6% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
1-2 @ 8% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.09% (0.028 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.38% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.22% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.07% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 35.73%

How you voted: Sporting Gijon vs Rayo Vallecano

Sporting Gijon
40.0%
Draw
30.0%
Rayo Vallecano
30.0%
30
Head to Head
Mar 30, 2021 8.30pm
Rayo Vallecano
0-1
Sporting Gijon

Trejo (23'), Catena (68')
Diaz (15')
Nov 16, 2020 8pm
Sporting Gijon
1-1
Rayo Vallecano
Garcia (77' og.)
Fuego (90+6')
Carmona (67')
Martin (87')
Hernandez (54'), Velazquez (56'), Suarez (57'), Qasmi (90+4')
Jun 25, 2020 6.30pm
Rayo Vallecano
1-1
Sporting Gijon
Qasmi (76')
Villar (85'), Dimitrievski (90+3')
Vazquez (45+3')
Medina (19'), Salvador (60'), Vazquez (77')
Aug 25, 2019 5pm
Sporting Gijon
1-1
Rayo Vallecano
Lopez (30')
Molinero (7'), Mendez (37'), Manzambi (88'), Fuego (93')
Mendez (59')
Martin (52')
Angel Pozo (28'), Trejo (38'), Catena (68'), Suarez (71'), Embarba (92')
Tito (81')
Mar 24, 2018 7.45pm
Sporting Gijon
1-0
Rayo Vallecano
Elustondo (68' og.)
Bergantinos (86')

Lopez (83'), de Tomas (90')