Segunda Division | Gameweek 19
Dec 8, 2022 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Anxo Carro

Lugo
0 - 1
Sporting Gijon

FT(HT: 0-0)
Zarfino (82')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Lugo and Sporting Gijon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lugo

All competitions
Last Game: Racing 0-1 Lugo
Sunday, December 4 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division

Sporting Gijon

All competitions
Last Game: Sporting Gijon 0-1 Las Palmas
Saturday, December 3 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 43.12%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.87%) and 1-2 (7.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.21%), while for a Lugo win it was 1-0 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sporting Gijon in this match.

Result
LugoDrawSporting Gijon
27.4% (-0.247 -0.25)29.48% (0.14 0.14)43.12% (0.112 0.11)
Both teams to score 41.42% (-0.471 -0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.02% (-0.511 -0.51)64.98% (0.517 0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.12% (-0.358 -0.36)83.88% (0.36499999999999 0.36)
Lugo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.18% (-0.504 -0.5)40.82% (0.509 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.61% (-0.455 -0.45)77.4% (0.462 0.46)
Sporting Gijon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.99% (-0.193 -0.19)30.02% (0.199 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.86% (-0.235 -0.23)66.14% (0.242 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Lugo 27.4%
    Sporting Gijon 43.11%
    Draw 29.48%
LugoDrawSporting Gijon
1-0 @ 10.97% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 5.92% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
2-0 @ 4.92% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-1 @ 1.77% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-0 @ 1.47% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.06% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 27.4%
1-1 @ 13.21%
0-0 @ 12.25% (0.23 0.23)
2-2 @ 3.56% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 29.48%
0-1 @ 14.74% (0.2 0.2)
0-2 @ 8.87% (0.072999999999999 0.07)
1-2 @ 7.95% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.56% (0.01 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.19% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.43% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 0.96% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 43.11%

How you voted: Lugo vs Sporting Gijon

Lugo
44.4%
Draw
0.0%
Sporting Gijon
55.6%
9
Head to Head
Jan 2, 2022 3pm
Sporting Gijon
1-1
Lugo
Garcia (61')
Garcia Carrasco (37')
Angel Carrillo (44')
Torres (22'), Juanpe (63'), Sanchez (66')
Valentin (63')
Oct 30, 2021 5.15pm
Lugo
1-1
Sporting Gijon
Ramos (53')
Vieites (60'), Lebedenko (72')
Milovanov (78')
Garcia (42'), Milovanov (70'), Durdevic (73'), Mendez (90+5')
May 10, 2021 8pm
Sporting Gijon
1-0
Lugo
Campos (53')
Gragera (26'), Durdevic (71'), Garcia (74')

Seoane (67')
Jan 4, 2021 8pm
Lugo
0-0
Sporting Gijon

Salvador (73')
Jun 28, 2020 4pm
Sporting Gijon
2-0
Lugo