Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 28.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Girona | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
| 44.07% ( | 27.43% ( | 28.5% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.37% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.2% ( | 57.81% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.47% ( | 78.54% ( |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.93% ( | 26.07% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.88% ( | 61.12% ( |
| Rayo Vallecano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.08% ( | 35.92% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.3% ( | 72.7% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Girona | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
| 1-0 @ 12.59% ( 2-1 @ 8.67% ( 2-0 @ 8.46% ( 3-1 @ 3.88% ( 3-0 @ 3.79% ( 3-2 @ 1.99% ( 4-1 @ 1.31% ( 4-0 @ 1.28% ( Other @ 2.11% Total : 44.07% | 1-1 @ 12.89% ( 0-0 @ 9.37% ( 2-2 @ 4.44% ( Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.43% | 0-1 @ 9.59% ( 1-2 @ 6.6% ( 0-2 @ 4.91% ( 1-3 @ 2.25% ( 0-3 @ 1.68% ( 2-3 @ 1.51% ( Other @ 1.97% Total : 28.5% |