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La Liga | Gameweek 18
Jan 21, 2023 at 1pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
Real Sociedad logo

Rayo Vallecano
0 - 2
Real Sociedad

FT(HT: 0-2)
Sorloth (15'), Barrenetxea (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Real Sociedad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 55.67%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 20.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.75%) and 1-2 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 1-0 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawReal Sociedad
20.02% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)24.3% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)55.67% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Both teams to score 47.86% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.11% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)52.89% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.49% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)74.5% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)41% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.44% (-0.026 -0.03)77.55% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.11% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)18.88% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.64% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)50.36%
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 20.02%
    Real Sociedad 55.66%
    Draw 24.29%
Rayo VallecanoDrawReal Sociedad
1-0 @ 6.9%
2-1 @ 5.13% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 1.52% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.27% (-0.002 -0)
3-0 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.2%
Total : 20.02%
1-1 @ 11.5%
0-0 @ 7.74% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 4.28% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 24.29%
0-1 @ 12.9% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 10.75% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.59% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 5.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 5.33% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-4 @ 2.49% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.38% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 2.22% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 55.66%

How you voted: Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad

Rayo Vallecano
22.4%
Draw
20.4%
Real Sociedad
57.1%
49
Head to Head
May 1, 2022 5.30pm
Aug 22, 2021 4pm
Real Sociedad
1-0
Rayo Vallecano
Oyarzabal (68' pen.)
Isak (86'), Pacheco Dozagarat (90'), Le Normand (90+5')

Trejo (26'), Comesana (55'), Balliu (66'), Garcia (90+1'), Iraola (90+2')
Jan 20, 2019 5.30pm
Sep 25, 2018 8pm
Real Sociedad
2-2
Rayo Vallecano
Bautista (5'), Jose (78')
Zubeldia (15'), Moreno (77'), Merino (81'), Zaldua (89')
Advincula (31'), Trejo (36' pen.)
Advincula (61'), Kakuta (62'), Trejo (90')
May 8, 2016 4pm
Real Sociedad
2-1
Rayo Vallecano
Oyarzabal (12'), Orgilles Jon (51')
Prieto (28'), Orgilles Jon (70')
Granero (76')
Guerra (69')
Angel Crespo (60')
rhs 2.0


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