Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 55.67%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 20.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.75%) and 1-2 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 1-0 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 20.02% ( | 24.3% ( | 55.67% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.86% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.11% ( | 52.89% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.49% ( | 74.5% ( |
| Rayo Vallecano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59% ( | 41% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.44% ( | 77.55% ( |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.11% ( | 18.88% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.64% ( | 50.36% |
| Score Analysis |
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 1-0 @ 6.9% 2-1 @ 5.13% ( 2-0 @ 3.08% ( 3-1 @ 1.52% ( 3-2 @ 1.27% ( 3-0 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 1.2% Total : 20.02% | 1-1 @ 11.5% 0-0 @ 7.74% ( 2-2 @ 4.28% ( Other @ 0.78% Total : 24.29% | 0-1 @ 12.9% ( 0-2 @ 10.75% ( 1-2 @ 9.59% ( 0-3 @ 5.98% ( 1-3 @ 5.33% ( 0-4 @ 2.49% ( 2-3 @ 2.38% ( 1-4 @ 2.22% ( 2-4 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 3.04% Total : 55.66% |