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La Liga | Gameweek 17
Jan 14, 2023 at 1pm UK
Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla
Rayo Vallecano logo

Valladolid
0 - 1
Rayo Vallecano


Monchu (32'), Guardiola (45+3'), Guardiola (49')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Isi (65')
Camello (75'), Isi (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Valladolid and Rayo Vallecano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Real Valladolid 1-1 Rayo Vallecano

Real Valladolid have won four times in front of their own fans in the league this season, but they are difficult to back at the moment due to their recent form. Rayo are enjoying an impressive campaign, meanwhile, and we believe that the points will be shared on Saturday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 37.67%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 35.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 1-0 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Rayo Vallecano in this match.

Result
Real ValladolidDrawRayo Vallecano
35.73% (0.091999999999999 0.09) 26.6% (-0.017999999999997 -0.02) 37.67% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)
Both teams to score 52.19% (0.067 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.25% (0.080000000000005 0.08)52.75% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.62% (0.068999999999999 0.07)74.38% (-0.066999999999993 -0.07)
Real Valladolid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.67% (0.094000000000008 0.09)28.33% (-0.093 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.94% (0.117 0.12)64.06% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.82% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)27.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)62.59% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Real Valladolid 35.73%
    Rayo Vallecano 37.67%
    Draw 26.6%
Real ValladolidDrawRayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 9.71% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.98% (0.016 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.13% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.36% (0.015 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.58% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.19% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.06% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 35.73%
1-1 @ 12.65%
0-0 @ 7.7% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.2% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.6%
0-1 @ 10.03% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.24% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.53% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.84% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.26% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-4 @ 1.17% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 0.92% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 37.67%

How you voted: Valladolid vs Rayo Vallecano

Real Valladolid
35.0%
Draw
40.0%
Rayo Vallecano
25.0%
40
Head to Head
May 12, 2019 5.30pm
Rayo Vallecano
1-2
Valladolid
Medran (73')
Moreno (69'), Pozo (76')
Unal (6' pen.), Guardiola (80')
Kiko (77'), Calero (86')
Jan 5, 2019 12pm
Mar 4, 2018 5pm
Valladolid
1-1
Rayo Vallecano
Mata (48' pen.)
Anuar (33'), Borja (38'), Moyano (57'), Mata (72'), Calero (76')
De Tomas (55' pen.)
Velazquez (48'), Baiano (90')
Velazquez (70')
Oct 8, 2017 3pm
Rayo Vallecano
4-1
Valladolid
Embarba (8', 85'), Trejo (16'), De Tomas (41' pen.)
Trejo (24')
Plano (52')
Plano (34'), Salvador (37'), Villalibre (61'), Angel (65'), Michel (68')
Luismi (61')
Mar 22, 2014 7pm
Valladolid
1-1
Rayo Vallecano
Castro (8' og.)
Rossi (8'), Mitrovic (28'), Valiente (50'), Rubio (66')
Bueno (45')
Bueno (10'), Niguez (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid33266171224984
2Barcelona33227468392973
3GironaGirona33225669402971
4Atletico MadridAtletico33204962392364
5Athletic Bilbao331610753332058
6Real Sociedad331312846351151
7Real BetisBetis33121384139249
8Valencia33138123738-147
9Villarreal33129125455-145
10Getafe331013104145-443
11Osasuna33116163749-1239
12Sevilla33911134246-438
13AlavesAlaves33108153138-738
14Las PalmasLas Palmas33107163041-1137
15Rayo Vallecano33713132742-1534
16Mallorca33614132739-1232
17Celta Vigo33710163750-1331
18CadizCadiz33414152346-2326
19Granada3349203661-2521
RAlmeria33111213267-3514


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