Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 36.55%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 35.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.88%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 0-1 (10.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mallorca in this match.
| Result | ||
| Mallorca | Draw | Real Valladolid |
| 36.55% ( | 27.71% ( | 35.74% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.69% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.85% ( | 57.15% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.99% ( | 78.01% ( |
| Mallorca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.03% ( | 29.97% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.92% ( | 66.08% ( |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.52% ( | 30.48% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.31% ( | 66.69% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Mallorca | Draw | Real Valladolid |
| 1-0 @ 11% ( 2-1 @ 7.88% ( 2-0 @ 6.63% ( 3-1 @ 3.17% ( 3-0 @ 2.66% ( 3-2 @ 1.88% ( 4-1 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.38% Total : 36.55% | 1-1 @ 13.07% ( 0-0 @ 9.13% ( 2-2 @ 4.68% ( Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.7% | 0-1 @ 10.85% ( 1-2 @ 7.77% ( 0-2 @ 6.45% ( 1-3 @ 3.08% 0-3 @ 2.55% ( 2-3 @ 1.85% ( 1-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.27% Total : 35.73% |