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La Liga | Gameweek 14
Nov 8, 2022 at 7pm UK
San Mamés Barria
Real Valladolid logo

Athletic Bilbao
3 - 0
Valladolid

Guruzeta (18', 51'), Vivian (78')
Guruzeta (45+1'), Herrera (49'), Vencedor (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Monchu (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Real Valladolid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Valladolid 2-1 Elche
Saturday, November 5 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Real Valladolid

Real Valladolid will enter this match full of confidence, but the same cannot be said for Athletic due to their recent struggles. Athletic will be the favourites on Tuesday, but Real Valladolid's form deserves a lot of respect, and we are backing the visitors to secure a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 60.74%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 16.29%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.14%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawReal Valladolid
60.74% (0.684 0.68) 22.97% (-0.181 -0.18) 16.29% (-0.495 -0.5)
Both teams to score 45.2% (-0.45 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.04% (-0.067 -0.07)52.96% (0.074999999999996 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.44% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)74.56% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.94% (0.21899999999999 0.22)17.06% (-0.212 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.77% (0.378 0.38)47.23% (-0.371 -0.37)
Real Valladolid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.49% (-0.684 -0.68)45.51% (0.693 0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.66% (-0.546 -0.55)81.34% (0.55500000000001 0.56)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 60.73%
    Real Valladolid 16.29%
    Draw 22.96%
Athletic BilbaoDrawReal Valladolid
1-0 @ 13.72% (0.13 0.13)
2-0 @ 12.14% (0.21 0.21)
2-1 @ 9.56% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 7.16% (0.169 0.17)
3-1 @ 5.63% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
4-0 @ 3.16% (0.097 0.1)
4-1 @ 2.49% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.22% (-0.032 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.12% (0.042 0.04)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 60.73%
1-1 @ 10.8% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 7.76% (0.023 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.76% (-0.082 -0.08)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 22.96%
0-1 @ 6.11% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-2 @ 4.26% (-0.123 -0.12)
0-2 @ 2.41% (-0.087 -0.09)
1-3 @ 1.12% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-3 @ 0.99% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 16.29%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Valladolid

Athletic Bilbao
62.1%
Draw
18.2%
Real Valladolid
19.7%
132
Head to Head
Apr 28, 2021 6pm
Nov 8, 2020 5.30pm
Valladolid
2-1
Athletic Bilbao
Orellana (19' pen.), Maranhao (48')
Hervias (38'), Alcaraz (66'), Masip (71'), Garcia Carnero (90+1')
Williams (86' pen.)
Simon (17'), Muniain (66')
Mar 8, 2020 1pm
Valladolid
1-4
Athletic Bilbao
Ramirez (76')
Ben Arfa (90')
Lopez (4'), Garcia (24'), Williams (87'), Cordoba (90')
Lopez (49'), Garcia (80')
Oct 20, 2019 5.30pm
Athletic Bilbao
1-1
Valladolid
Williams (33')
Alvarez (58'), Aduriz (79')
Martinez (71' og.)
Salisu (38'), Borja (75'), Masip (90')
May 5, 2019 5.30pm
Valladolid
1-0
Athletic Bilbao
Rubio (21')
Plano (11'), Michel (35'), Alcaraz (41'), Borja (50'), Toni (84')

Capa (30'), Garcia (30'), San Jose (55'), Aduriz (90'), Muniain (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona17122350193138
2Real Madrid17114237162137
3Atletico MadridAtletico16105130111935
4Athletic Bilbao1795326151132
5Mallorca188371821-327
6Villarreal157532725226
7Osasuna176742225-325
8Real Sociedad167361611524
9GironaGirona176472325-222
10Sevilla176471823-522
11Real BetisBetis165651820-221
12Celta Vigo176382528-321
13Rayo Vallecano165561819-120
14Las PalmasLas Palmas165382227-518
15Getafe163761113-216
16AlavesAlaves164391827-915
17Leganes163671423-915
18Espanyol1642101528-1314
19Real ValladolidValladolid1733111234-2212
20Valencia152491323-1010


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