Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 41.83%. A win for Real Betis had a probability of 30.84% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Real Betis win was 0-1 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.