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La Liga | Gameweek 16
Jan 8, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
Real Betis logo

Rayo Vallecano
1 - 2
Betis

Camello (20')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Balliu (7' og.), Henrique (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Real Betis, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 41.83%. A win for Real Betis had a probability of 30.84% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Real Betis win was 0-1 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawReal Betis
41.83% (0.208 0.21)27.33% (0.025000000000002 0.03)30.84% (-0.231 -0.23)
Both teams to score 48.78% (-0.162 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.45% (-0.165 -0.16)56.55% (0.16699999999999 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.46% (-0.133 -0.13)77.53% (0.13500000000001 0.14)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.34% (0.036000000000001 0.04)26.66% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.1% (0.046999999999997 0.05)61.9% (-0.044999999999995 -0.04)
Real Betis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.52% (-0.252 -0.25)33.48% (0.255 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.88% (-0.277 -0.28)70.12% (0.279 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 41.83%
    Real Betis 30.84%
    Draw 27.33%
Rayo VallecanoDrawReal Betis
1-0 @ 11.8% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 8.54% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.8% (0.065 0.07)
3-1 @ 3.76% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.44% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.06% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.24% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.14% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 41.83%
1-1 @ 12.91% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.93% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.67% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.33%
0-1 @ 9.77% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.06% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-2 @ 5.34% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.58% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.95% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.7% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 30.84%

How you voted: Rayo Vallecano vs Betis

Rayo Vallecano
37.9%
Draw
33.3%
Real Betis
28.8%
66
Head to Head
Mar 3, 2022 8pm
Semi-Finals
Betis
1-1
Rayo Vallecano
Iglesias (90+2')
Jose (79')
Bebe (80')
Balliu (71')
Feb 9, 2022 8pm
Semi-Finals
Rayo Vallecano
1-2
Betis
Garcia (5')
Valentin (65')
Iglesias (26'), Carvalho (68')
Silva (78')
Jan 9, 2022 1pm
Rayo Vallecano
1-1
Betis
Balliu (70')
Garcia (55')
Canales (45+2')
Canales (34'), Guardado (45+6'), Pellegrini (45+8'), Silva (87')
Moreno (33')
Oct 24, 2021 5.30pm
Betis
3-2
Rayo Vallecano
Moreno (22'), Juanmi (24'), Jose (75' pen.)
Gonzalez (32')
Nteka (45+1'), Garcia (65')
Garcia (31'), Trejo (61')
Jan 23, 2020 8pm
Round of 32
Rayo Vallecano
2-2
Betis
Rayo Vallecano win 4-2 on penalties
Catena (47'), Martin (117')
Montiel (26'), Trejo (58'), Valentin (58'), Catena (62'), Suarez (107'), Garcia (112')
Joaquin (84'), Moron (97')
Alena (38'), Bartra (63'), Feddal (94'), Tello (113')