Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 36.49%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 35.49% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.8%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (11.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
Result | ||
Real Sociedad | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
36.49% ( 0.06) | 28.02% ( 0.03) | 35.49% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 47.72% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.65% ( -0.11) | 58.35% ( 0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.04% ( -0.09) | 78.96% ( 0.09) |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.4% ( -0.02) | 30.61% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.16% ( -0.02) | 66.84% ( 0.02) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.76% ( -0.11) | 31.24% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.42% ( -0.13) | 67.58% ( 0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Real Sociedad | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
1-0 @ 11.31% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.8% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.08% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.65% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.25% Total : 36.48% | 1-1 @ 13.17% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.56% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.76% Total : 28.02% | 0-1 @ 11.12% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.66% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.47% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.99% Total : 35.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 33 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 71 | 22 | 49 | 84 |
2 | Barcelona | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 64 | 37 | 27 | 70 |
3 | GironaGirona | 32 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 67 | 40 | 27 | 68 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 32 | 19 | 4 | 9 | 59 | 38 | 21 | 61 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 52 | 30 | 22 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 48 |
8 | Valencia | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 42 |
10 | Getafe | 32 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 40 |
11 | Osasuna | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 39 |
12 | Sevilla | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 37 |
13 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 37 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 35 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Celta Vigo | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 31 |
17 | Mallorca | 32 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 32 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 25 |
19 | Granada | 32 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 33 | 61 | -28 | 18 |
20 | Almeria | 32 | 1 | 11 | 20 | 31 | 64 | -33 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |