La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 17

Jan 14, 2023 at 8pm UK

Reale Arena

Real Sociedad
3 - 1
Athletic Bilbao

Sorloth (25'), Kubo (37'), Oyarzabal (62' pen.)

FT(HT: 2-1)

Sancet (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Sociedad and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Sociedad

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Almeria 0-2 Real Sociedad
Sunday, January 8 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 0-0 Osasuna
Monday, January 9 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 36.49%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 35.49% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.8%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (11.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.

Result
Real Sociedad	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
36.49% ( 0.06)	28.02% ( 0.03)	35.49% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 47.72% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.65% (

-0.11)

58.35% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.04% (

-0.09)

78.96% (

0.09)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.4% (

-0.02)

30.61% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.16% (

-0.02)

66.84% (

0.02)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.76% (

-0.11)

31.24% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.42% (

-0.13)

67.58% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Real Sociedad 36.48%

Athletic Bilbao 35.48%

Draw 28.02%

Real Sociedad	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 11.31% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.8% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.08% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.65% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.25% Total : 36.48%	1-1 @ 13.17% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.56% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.76% Total : 28.02%	0-1 @ 11.12% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.66% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.47% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.99% Total : 35.48%