Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 53.29%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 21.17%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.