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La Liga

Athletic Bilbao logo
La Liga | Gameweek 16
Jan 9, 2023 at 8pm UK
San Mamés Barria
Osauna logo

Athletic Bilbao
0 - 0
Osasuna

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Osasuna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Eldense 1-6 Athletic Bilbao
Thursday, January 5 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

Osasuna

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Gimnastic 1-2 Osasuna
Thursday, January 5 at 3pm in Copa del Rey

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 53.29%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 21.17%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawOsasuna
53.29% (0.097999999999999 0.1)25.54% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)21.17% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
Both teams to score 45.98% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.78% (0.053999999999995 0.05)56.21% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.73% (0.044 0.04)77.26% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.86% (0.060999999999993 0.06)21.14% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.01% (0.097999999999999 0.1)53.98% (-0.1 -0.1)
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.31% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)41.69% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.83% (-0.032999999999998 -0.03)78.17% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 53.28%
    Osasuna 21.17%
    Draw 25.54%
Athletic BilbaoDrawOsasuna
1-0 @ 13.69%
2-0 @ 10.64% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.31% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.51% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.82% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.14% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.11% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.87% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 53.28%
1-1 @ 11.98% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.81% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.07% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 25.54%
0-1 @ 7.71% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.24% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.37% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.53% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.19% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 0.98% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 1.15%
Total : 21.17%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Osasuna

Athletic Bilbao
76.1%
Draw
15.9%
Osasuna
8.0%
138
Head to Head
May 15, 2022 6.30pm
Athletic Bilbao
2-0
Osasuna
Berenguer (33'), Villalibre (79')
Jan 3, 2022 8pm
Osasuna
1-3
Athletic Bilbao
Kike (10')
Angel (66'), Arrasate (67'), Torro (76'), Herrera (78'), Avila (90+2')
Avila (90+4')
Sancet (16', 25', 68')
Alvarez (66'), Martinez (90+4')
May 8, 2021 8pm
Athletic Bilbao
2-2
Osasuna
Morcillo (1'), Sancet (62')
Vencedor (50'), Marcelino (71')
Brasanac (12'), Budimir (89')
Torro (26'), Brasanac (90+2')
Oct 24, 2020 5.30pm
Osasuna
1-0
Athletic Bilbao
Garcia (81' pen.)
Garcia (16'), Arrasate Elustondo (45'), Sanjurjo (54'), Vidal (63')
Arrasate Elustondo (78')

Alvarez (24'), Garcia (26')
> Preview
Feb 16, 2020 5.30pm
Athletic Bilbao
0-1
Osasuna

Vencedor (27'), San Jose (33'), Martinez (77'), Aduriz (80')
Sanjurjo (29')
Roncaglia (38'), Sanjurjo (39'), Gallego (48'), Brasanac (55')