Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 49.8%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 23.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
Result | ||
Real Sociedad | Draw | Osasuna |
49.8% ( -1.83) | 26.34% ( 0.48) | 23.86% ( 1.35) |
Both teams to score 46.83% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.3% ( -0.6) | 56.7% ( 0.6) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.34% ( -0.48) | 77.66% ( 0.48) |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.15% ( -1.05) | 22.85% ( 1.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.42% ( -1.58) | 56.57% ( 1.58) |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.69% ( 0.96) | 39.3% ( -0.96) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.99% ( 0.88) | 76.01% ( -0.88) |
Score Analysis |
Real Sociedad | Draw | Osasuna |
1-0 @ 13.25% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 9.79% ( -0.39) 2-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 4.82% ( -0.36) 3-1 @ 4.5% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.19) 4-1 @ 1.66% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.76% Total : 49.79% | 1-1 @ 12.38% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 4.27% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.71% Total : 26.34% | 0-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 5.78% ( 0.25) 0-2 @ 3.92% ( 0.28) 1-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.12) Other @ 1.44% Total : 23.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 33 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 71 | 22 | 49 | 84 |
2 | Barcelona | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 64 | 37 | 27 | 70 |
3 | GironaGirona | 32 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 67 | 40 | 27 | 68 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 32 | 19 | 4 | 9 | 59 | 38 | 21 | 61 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 52 | 30 | 22 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 48 |
8 | Valencia | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 42 |
10 | Getafe | 32 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 40 |
11 | Osasuna | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 39 |
12 | Sevilla | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 37 |
13 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 37 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 35 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Celta Vigo | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 31 |
17 | Mallorca | 32 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 32 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 25 |
19 | Granada | 32 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 33 | 61 | -28 | 18 |
20 | Almeria | 32 | 1 | 11 | 20 | 31 | 64 | -33 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |