La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 15

Dec 31, 2022 at 3.15pm UK

Reale Arena

Real Sociedad
2 - 0
Osasuna

Mendez (22'), Sorloth (64')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Sociedad and Osasuna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Sociedad

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: CD Coria 0-5 Real Sociedad
Wednesday, December 21 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Top scorers

Osasuna

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Arnedo 1-3 Osasuna
Wednesday, December 21 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 49.8%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 23.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.

Result
Real Sociedad	Draw	Osasuna
49.8% ( -1.83)	26.34% ( 0.48)	23.86% ( 1.35)

Both teams to score 46.83% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.3% (

-0.6)

56.7% (

0.6)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.34% (

-0.48)

77.66% (

0.48)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.15% (

-1.05)

22.85% (

1.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.42% (

-1.58)

56.57% (

1.58)

Osasuna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.69% (

0.96)

39.3% (

-0.96)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.99% (

0.88)

76.01% (

-0.88)

Score Analysis

Real Sociedad 49.79%

Osasuna 23.86%

Draw 26.34%

Real Sociedad	Draw	Osasuna
1-0 @ 13.25% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 9.79% ( -0.39) 2-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 4.82% ( -0.36) 3-1 @ 4.5% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.19) 4-1 @ 1.66% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.76% Total : 49.79%	1-1 @ 12.38% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 4.27% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.71% Total : 26.34%	0-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 5.78% ( 0.25) 0-2 @ 3.92% ( 0.28) 1-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.12) Other @ 1.44% Total : 23.86%