Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 49.8%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 23.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.