Eldense
Copa del Rey | Round of 32
Jan 5, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Municipal Nuevo Pepico Amat
Athletic Bilbao logo

Eldense
1 - 6
Athletic Bilbao

Soberon (67')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Williams (35'), Berenguer (41', 65'), Zarraga (59'), Machado (74' og.), Muniain (90')
Coverage of the Copa del Rey Round of 32 clash between Eldense and Athletic Bilbao.

Form, Standings, Stats

Eldense

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Last Game: Eldense 1-0 Burgos
Thursday, December 22 at 6pm in Copa del Rey
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Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
Copa del Rey
Last Game: Betis 0-0 Athletic Bilbao
Thursday, December 29 at 6.15pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 60.44%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Eldense had a probability of 16.51%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.04%) and 1-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Eldense win it was 1-0 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
EldenseDrawAthletic Bilbao
16.51% (-1.116 -1.12)23.05% (-0.774 -0.77)60.44% (1.89 1.89)
Both teams to score 45.41% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.09% (1.257 1.26)52.91% (-1.259 -1.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.48% (1.062 1.06)74.52% (-1.064 -1.06)
Eldense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.81% (-0.668 -0.67)45.19% (0.665 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.92% (-0.535 -0.54)81.08% (0.53400000000001 0.53)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.85% (1.136 1.14)17.15% (-1.138 -1.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.61% (1.969 1.97)47.38% (-1.97 -1.97)
Score Analysis
    Eldense 16.51%
    Athletic Bilbao 60.43%
    Draw 23.05%
EldenseDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 6.16% (-0.433 -0.43)
2-1 @ 4.31% (-0.218 -0.22)
2-0 @ 2.45% (-0.22 -0.22)
3-1 @ 1.14% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-2 @ 1.01% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 16.51%
1-1 @ 10.85% (-0.34 -0.34)
0-0 @ 7.75% (-0.393 -0.39)
2-2 @ 3.8% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 23.05%
0-1 @ 13.66% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-2 @ 12.04% (0.29 0.29)
1-2 @ 9.57% (0.06 0.06)
0-3 @ 7.08% (0.426 0.43)
1-3 @ 5.62% (0.239 0.24)
0-4 @ 3.12% (0.294 0.29)
1-4 @ 2.48% (0.192 0.19)
2-3 @ 2.23% (0.055 0.06)
0-5 @ 1.1% (0.14 0.14)
2-4 @ 0.99% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 60.43%

How you voted: Eldense vs Athletic Bilbao

Eldense
11.4%
Draw
5.7%
Athletic Bilbao
82.9%
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