Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 52.09%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for UD Logrones had a probability of 21.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.66%) and 1-2 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a UD Logrones win it was 1-0 (8.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Real Sociedad in this match.

Result
UD Logrones	Draw	Real Sociedad
21.56% ( 1.49)	26.36% ( 1.02)	52.09% ( -2.51)

Both teams to score 44.3% (

-0.76)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.32% (

-2.04)

58.69% (

2.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.78% (

-1.62)

79.23% (

1.62)

UD Logrones Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.3% (

0.41)

42.71% (

-0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.96% (

0.35)

79.04% (

-0.34)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.33% (

-1.9)

22.68% (

1.91)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.68% (

-2.9)

56.32% (

2.91)

Score Analysis

UD Logrones 21.56%

Real Sociedad 52.08%

Draw 26.35%

UD Logrones	Draw	Real Sociedad
1-0 @ 8.24% ( 0.71) 2-1 @ 5.2% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 3.51% ( 0.34) 3-1 @ 1.48% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 1.09% ( -0) 3-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.11) Other @ 1.06% Total : 21.56%	1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.38) 0-0 @ 9.68% ( 0.73) 2-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.59% Total : 26.35%	0-1 @ 14.37% ( 0.3) 0-2 @ 10.66% ( -0.4) 1-2 @ 9.07% ( -0.23) 0-3 @ 5.27% ( -0.52) 1-3 @ 4.49% ( -0.39) 0-4 @ 1.96% ( -0.32) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.14) 1-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.25) Other @ 2.69% Total : 52.08%